AlanSubie4Life
Efficiency Obsessed Member
I don't see that happening. As load on the testing system improves - more people with symptoms will go for testing and keep the confirmed case numbers flat.
I guess I should have said "infections" - I don't expect the actual case numbers to change much, either, over the next week or two, though I hope for a gradual downward trend while testing trends up.
BTW, is there a good site that shows daily confirmed case charts for all states ?
You could try this:
Tableau Public
The "My State" tab allows you to look at different states. Every now and again there's bad data in there but I think that's due to the source.
Honestly, all of this state data is basically crap since it doesn't account for date of symptom onset, date of test, date of death, etc. It totally changes all the curves. Would be nice to have epidemiological curves for all the states in one place. (Look at the WA State data with all the missing data and compare to the actual curve on the WA State website.) This can have a big impact on actual Rt. So I'd ignore the Rts on this site.
Santa Clara have re-pre-printed their study, and now they're at a minimum of 15x the infections vs. cases.
They still, unbelievably, seem to be adjusting for the test sensitivity/specificity after doing the population weighting which will mean that the uncertainty in the test performance will be underestimated.
COVID-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, California
But anyway, seems to be borderline converging on the generally accepted 10x number (that most people recognized was the scaling a month ago!). Not sure what value the study really has at this point.
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