I expect BYD to outsell Tesla by the end of 2025, if not sooner
BYD currently make more BEVs+PHEVs than Tesla (1,857,379 vs 1,313,851 in 2022) hence the claim (rarely challenged by cut-and-paste journalists) that they are the world’s largest EV manufacturer.
The correct metric is that BYD are behind Tesla in BEVs - but they are closing the gap, and fast. In 2022, BYD sold 69% of Tesla’s BEV volumes (911,141 vs 1,313,851) while in 2021, BYD was only at 34% of Tesla’s BEV volumes (320,810 vs 936,172).
They will almost certainly overtake Tesla in 2025, possibly even in 2024.