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Finkenbusch

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Let's make this interesting.

Look - I could bet and argue with you lengthily.
To cut is short.
The former huge and proud US car industry is in the sewer - see:
Question of the Day: $50b loans for American jobs? | The Truth About Cars

There is nothing to expect / left over from the (now gone) US world leaders in car innovation industry & intellectuals tackling the future of energy conservation, management or handling global warming - but endless wars (over the last energy resources), hassling, bankruptcy (paid by the evil foreigners) mugging, cheating on big scale or other "thief in the law side-business".

If history is any guide anyone else but the US BIG 2.8 will come up with a viable, lean, elegant, market ready (the Tesla is a niche product for less then a few) EV product.

I bet on India, Asia or (most probably) Europe taking the EV lead in a professional manner - in a few months we shall be wiser.

And if I'm mistaken - I shall not hesitate to offer my kudos _ but thats a very faint possibility
 
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Having a agreement not having a agreement most probably.

Daimlers last US adventure with Chrysler nearly brought Daimler to its knees.

The Daimler shareholder (me) paid heavily for the mistake marrying a gentlemen to a bump.

Daimler / Mercedes could divorce (leaving deep financial bruises all over) in the last minute from the looser - and let the ugly bride (Chrysler) sink alone into Chaper 11, or directly into Chapter 7 - read details in any US newspaper or directly at
The Truth About Cars

Its hardly conceivable that such very hard burned child, having a fat technological advance, will even consider looking in such a repetition of burning money for love in the US soon.


This logic doesn't make sense. It says that Daimler had a bad experience in the US, therefore, they will never deal with the US again. Those folks have to be smarter than that..!!!
 
This logic doesn't make sense. It says that Daimler had a bad experience in the US, therefore, they will never deal with the US again. Those folks have to be smarter than that..!!!

They are smarter indeed. And they act accordingly.

Many in the US get it as well - slowly but truth is trickling down:

Project Syndicate

If legal framework is broken down, a western orientated democratic government acts funny like North Koreas commies

Treasury set to bail out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

and international investors are with governments help legally screwed (to say the least - if you understand the inside working of this financial scam you understand) like in Vietnam or Cuba
international business stays away and local business dies.

(look at the label "made in" in your underwear, T-shirt, medicine, spare part, sport shoe, Barby Doll, toy, Tesla parts, iPod, Macintosh, TV, camera or any home appliance e.g. and you shall see the production power and competitiveness of your nation)

- its as simple as this.

But dont worry - the Japanese will shift / save some dirty blue collar workplaces in the US when teaching the USA how to produce batteries at home - for Japanese cars:)

Japanese companies to build batteries in America - AutoblogGreen
 
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They are smarter indeed. And they act accordingly.

Many in the US get it as well - slowly but truth is trickling down:

Project Syndicate

If legal framework is broken down, a western orientated democratic government acts funny like North Koreas commies

Treasury set to bail out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

and international investors are with governments help legally screwed (to say the least - if you understand the inside working of this financial scam you understand) like in Vietnam or Cuba
international business stays away and local business dies.

(look at the label "made in" in your underwear, T-shirt, medicine, spare part, sport shoe, Barby Doll, toy, Tesla parts, iPod, Macintosh, TV, camera or any home appliance e.g. and you shall see the production power and competitiveness of your nation)

- its as simple as this.

But dont worry - the Japanese will shift / save some dirty blue collar workplaces in the US when teaching the USA how to produce batteries at home - for Japanese cars:)

Japanese companies to build batteries in America - AutoblogGreen

If you can link you statements to autos, EVs, etc. fine...otherwise, post your left-wing, communistic crap somewhere else.
 
communistic crap

If you can link you statements to autos, EVs, etc. fine...otherwise, post your left-wing, communistic crap somewhere else.

Sorry - I was (as wool dyed anti-communist) going for the big picture.

GM is (not only but also for its years to late started EV Volt program) like the rest of US car / mortgage industry in dire need for money.

There economically altogether today one big step ahead of the cliffs edge.

They cannot get needed cash through sales of products, as nobody buys their crap so the get it from the customers purse with governments help now directly without effecting any sale or compensation.

Your absolutely right and I fully agree with you that a government bailout is in any case (failed private companies) is as you have stated correctly

left-wing, communistic crap.

Please post / mail your congressman in that matter accordingly.

:)
Ok - I shall refrain from further "enlarged" critique...
 
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I bet on India, Asia or (most probably) Europe taking the EV lead in a professional manner - in a few months we shall be wiser.

I have been keeping tabs on EVs and I haven't heard of any highway capable EV (niche or otherwise) coming out for public consumption in 2008 in any of the aforementioned countries. Seems like most of them are late 2009 or in 2010. So it''ll probably take quite a bit longer than a few months.

Off Topic:
I don't usually like to comment on politics, but our nation has embraced many ideas from socialism already, so I don't see why everyone is so afraid of "commies". Wasn't Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac created by the government anyways?
 
I don't usually like to comment on politics, but our nation has embraced many ideas from socialism already, so I don't see why everyone is so afraid of "commies".

Indeed.

The current US high-jacker of the Withe House have embraced and modernized many nice socialistic values.

They have modernized the former dusty soviet Gulag and brought to market a hip form of secret SS torture prison - like the one in Diego Garcia or on the many on US military vessels on the international seas and land bases in foreign countries.
Forget outdated USSr Gulag - Guantanamo is hip - and thats only the begin - only a alpha version of a cool torture designer "chill out Archipel Gulag" for massaging the willing embedded press corps.

Solylent green between white-greyish white bread McDonald slabs for the fat ass masses in form of "fat-finger food for Joe/Jane" is a reminder of Ceaucescus "artificial meat based on soja" a new US top seller on speed.
and secret killings and torture of "foreign" folks in their own beds at random for "pride, flag & big oil" who never thought of meaning harm to anybody a further development of USSr might on Afghanistan - well "we are there" now replacing the Soviets in a new flavor of socialist - re-education.
And McDonald in our bases there are better then the USSR blech food in their bunkers back then ever was.

There is much to be learned from socialism...

Certainly "foreigners" are needed - like the Chinese and Europeans. They have to cover the bill for all Freddy Mac's, all the unprovoked wars and cheap T-shirts - thats their only reason the "foreigners" existance.
 
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Look - I could bet and argue with you lengthily.
To cut is short.
The former huge and proud US car industry is in the sewer - see:
Question of the Day: $50b loans for American jobs? | The Truth About Cars

There is nothing to expect / left over from the (now gone) US world leaders in car innovation industry & intellectuals tackling the future of energy conservation, management or handling global warming - but endless wars (over the last energy resources), hassling, bankruptcy (paid by the evil foreigners) mugging, cheating on big scale or other "thief in the law side-business".

If history is any guide anyone else but the US BIG 2.8 will come up with a viable, lean, elegant, market ready (the Tesla is a niche product for less then a few) EV product.

I bet on India, Asia or (most probably) Europe taking the EV lead in a professional manner - in a few months we shall be wiser.

And if I'm mistaken - I shall not hesitate to offer my kudos _ but thats a very faint possibility

I just got back from China 1 month ago:

Solar Eclipse Aug 1/2008, China
Solar Eclipse Aug 1/2008, China
[ lots of bike photos in this Flickr collection ]

I was AMAZED at the prevalence of electric bikes. You just don't see that here in USA. Is this another "political ploy" by powers-to-be, to inhibit electric "progressive movement"? (ala "who killed the electric car")

I was at a Giant bike dealership in Hami/China (NW China, near Mongolia border), & saw a slew of Giant electric bikes:

Solar Eclipse 8/1/08 China: Hami arrival from Balikun [ 8/2 ]

I even bought a Dahon foldable mtn bike ($250!!), took it to Beijing (riding around on Tieneman Square), & back home. Here in USA, Giant electric bikes are in demand..BUT THERE IS NO STOCK. Guess why?

I think there is a tremendous business opportunity for an American electric vehicle (car or bike) company to get a Chinese partner. E.g., Tesla Motors (or any car or bicycle company). They could do what Dell is doing (a service company, who contracts Chinese engineers to build hardware for them).

This is going back to Martin's time (& myself), when Dr. Larry Smarr/UIUC (computational astrophysicist) led an effort to create the NCSA/National Center for Supercomputing Applications. The argument wasn't "playing to win" (i.e., US needs supercomputers because it is required in advanced compuation, weather prediction, military applications, etc), but instead "playing NOT TO LOSE". I.e., the argument pointed out by Wilson

[ Cornell Univ physicists, Murray Gell-Mann's PhD student..the famous Caltech theoretical particle physicist & ally/nemesis to R. Feynman. Recall, Wally Rippel's fond memories of the latter, in a TM blog entry ]

"if you don't fund the NCSA, then the Japanese/NEC will have the lead in Supercomputing, & thus America would become 2nd in military. (jeopardizing America's dominance as a military superpower)"

Now, THAT got the attention of the powers-to-be in Washington (incl Military) & that's how the NCSA got funded.

I will be submitting a proposal for NCEA (National Ctr for Energy Applications), with Dr. Smarr (now at UC San Diego/CALIT2) in tow (name recognition, experience in Washington politics, & infrastructure developemtn), as well as other UIUC alumni in tow. Hopefully, incl Martin. The argument is simple:

"If you don't fund the NCEA, then China (who owns the USA already, in terms of financing US deficit & trade deficit) will displace America as the #1 superpower: Economically (via the latest trend in Alternative Energy) & militarily (they will have an interest in EV as well)"

The NCEA (virtual Interdiscplinary R&D Inst spread among various universities like Caltech, Univ of Illinois, Georgia-Tech, UC San Diego) & Industry (Northrop-Grumman, Tesla Motors, Think, Daimler-Benz, Fraunhofer Inst), will be the "technical engine" that fuels the oncoming/uprising industry of Alternative Energy. The lack of an R&D program is what created the problems at TM (tranny problems, Xtrac & Magna weren't able to deliver something close to "off the shelf"..they needed development time to work thru the kinks), which (unfairly) led to the dismissal of Martin, W. Rippel, Judy Estrin, et al. I like the charter of CalIT2 (where L. Smarr is the director): "developing Communications Technology, to help the emerging Tech economy of California". Same charter for NCEA, except we're talking about Energy Technology (EV, solar power, hydrogen fuel cells, battery technology, etc).

BTW, that Xtrac development partner in Offroad (they have the same severe shockload problem as the Roadster) just WON their class at a major offroad race (300 miles) over the weekend, & got 3rd overall!! Their record this year is 1st, 3rd (podium), now a 1st. They are looking for a strong Baja 1000 run, to get them the coveted points Championship. Obivously, this proves the value of Auto Racing as a technology test-bed ("Real World Knowledge"). One of the points I've been harping about repeatedly in this forum. Then, there is Academia which is a source of "Book Knowledge" (Martin's original training, & mine).

The NCEA brings both (Real World & Book Knowledge) together as a conglomerate of Industrial (TM, Xtrac, auto racing, et al) & Academic (Caltech, UIUC, Georgia-Tech, UCSD) partners.
 
my goodness.

How bigot

Tesla has problems with a simple thing like a gearbox.

Tesla is fumbling in a 90% non-US car re-exported to Europe for a mere 100.000 € (160.000$) with a gearbox?

In a country who has send a man to the moon in the last century, turning Clintons left, hefty US government surplus in a deficit, run the international US reputation into the mud and Telsa having a owner aiming at sending Jane/Jim into space for vacation?

I dont get it.
Do they have the (imported) tires ready?
Sure?

Gimme a break

Meanwhile plain vanilla japanese / korean / european car producers incorporates US StarFighter capabilities in of the shelf cars (less then half Teslas price) while providing a mpg uphill a US car cannot match downhill.

In windscreen (laser) beamed car information and build in constant Internet / mail / radio / GPS access are standard.
Solar roofs for cooling cars when parked is available even on a (former eastern block) Skoda.
Seats rumbling (announcing) when a Citroen crosses a line on the road or wakes sleepy drivers are no head-turners anymore.
Radar detection of car distances are common - road signs recognition by video camera and warning is here.

A (10 year old) Lotus Elise is 1/3 of Telsas (same old model) price and has (besides carrying traditionally a british e.g. extremely shabby finish - teapot in the door) at least a working gearbox - for the difference in price to the Tesla you can drive a whole life at 5 € a gallon
 
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Tesla has problems with a simple thing like a gearbox.

The gearbox problems have been explained AT LENGTH. Apparently you are either too boneheaded to understand or too biased to accept those explanations. Tesla have freely admitted that they screwed up with the transmission and it was a terrible mess. What is the point in harping on it? At the same time, the problem wasn't the "simple thing" you make it out to be. They were attempting something that hasn't been done before.

It's easy for you to criticize. What have you done that hasn't been done before?

Allow me to quote. . . "It is not the critic who counts, not the man who points out how the strong man stumbled, or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena; whose face is marred by the dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs and comes short again and again; who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions and spends himself in a worthy course; who at the best, knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who, at worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly; so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who know neither victory or defeat." -- Theodore Roosevelt


. . .and Telsa having a owner aiming at sending Jane/Jim into space for vacation?

That, as far as I can tell, is simply a lie. It's a fabrication, a fiction, something you dreamed up. But we've already seen that you are happy to talk about things you don't know.

For the record: Musk's company, SpaceX, is working on inexpensive launch vehicles, and also is a NASA contractor to design the shuttle replacement, which will service the ISS and and manned missions to the moon and eventually Mars. It is not a space tourism company. (Not that I see anything wrong with space tourism. Why shouldn't Jane and Jim go into space, if they want to?)


Meanwhile plain vanilla japanese / korean / european car producers incorporates US StarFighter capabilities in of the shelf cars (less then half Teslas price) while providing a mpg uphill a US car cannot match downhill.

More fantasies.

Honda builds a lot of efficient cars. . . in their US factories. GM and Ford have a lot of small, efficient cars -- which they make and sell in Europe. Until now they've been focusing on trucks and SUVs in the US simply because doing so made them a lot of money. Should they not be trying to make money?


In windscreen (laser) beamed car information and build in constant Internet / mail / radio / GPS access are standard.

Those are the kinds of gadgets and distractions that I think cars really don't need.


A (10 year old) Lotus Elise is 1/3 of Telsas (same old model) price and has (besides carrying traditionally a british e.g. extremely shabby finish - teapot in the door) at least a working gearbox - for the difference in price to the Tesla you can drive a whole life at 5 € a gallon

The Elise is 100% reliant on gasoline, a product of the ancien regime, it's not going to change anything. Plus it doesn't have anywhere near the acceleration performance. The Tesla Roadster is competitive in performance with cars that cost more. So where's the value in this comparison? Where's the fairness?
 
I love all the cool gagets you mentioned and would add, rear backup video, smart cruise control and keyless ignition.

The roadster is a bare bones stripped down car eliminating all these for weight considerations but personally, I can hardly wait till they start creeping back in.

As for the gearbox I will add to Tony's response that the big companies that manufacture transmissions would not build them for a car company with only 2000 units a year. No economys of scale for them.
 
my goodness.

How bigot

Tesla has problems with a simple thing like a gearbox.

Tesla is fumbling in a 90% non-US car re-exported to Europe for a mere 100.000 € (160.000$) with a gearbox?

It was a managment issue (sorry to say, Martin has to share some blame for this), which failed to recognize the value of short/medium/long view R&D program. That could have been the "safety umbrella", that prevented the Xtrac & Magna transmission issue. Such "teething problems" always arise in engineering, it takes TIME to work these things out. Of course, the "man at the top" doesn't have any engineering sense, so he decided that Martin was to blame (unfairly) & ejected him along with others (W. Rippel, Judy Estrin, et al). Basically, the crackpot thought "throwing money at the problem" was the solution. Where, in fact, that

"Knowledge Creation" (what R&D is all about..increasing man's knowledge)

is where it's at, & "Knowledge Consumerism" (thinking that you can simply "write a check" to vendors, & solutions magically appear instantaneously) caught up with them.

"Increasingly, it's a race between Education & Disaster"
-- H. G. Welles

Tesla Motors lost the race, the lack of Education (R&D effort) was their demise for the Roadster. If they don't realize this (& it looks like they haven't!), future bugaboos are going to appear AGAIN. Game over. Companies who repeatedly make the same mistakes, don't survive.

Interview with a successfull businessman:

Q: How did you become so rich?
A: by making mistakes!

Q: What!?
A: I LEARNED from those mistakes

I (& others) on this forum need to ask themselves a crucial question: what is the progress curve of TM? Would you support this company (& buy their products), knowing they are (or are not) learning from mistakes. I go back to Jim Valvano/NC tate basketball coach:

YouTube - Valvano Interview 1983 Final Four

"If you put yourself in a position to win, YOU HAVE A SHOT AT WINNING"

TM seems to be NOT putting themselves in a position to win (& therefore dooming themsleves to failure). No R&D program (internal or external contracted). Continuing to "throw money at the problem", hiring a bunch of people from other companies (ex Mazda designer, et al). I'm going forward in my proposal to setup a virtual R&D Inst for Alternative Energy (Academic & Industrial partners), that will be the "engine" to fuel entrepeneurial efforts in Alternative Energy. If TM goes kaput, so be it. Other companies (hopefully more enlightened to R&D) will be around to continue the struggle.

R&D has always had a strong RoI (Return on Investment), it's really unfortunate sign of the times (too much focus on "instant gratification", i.e. short-term needs) that long-view research is being sacrificed. I think I heard that Bell Labs has been disbanded (at the time Martin & I were getting our degrees 25 odd yrs ago, that was the HOT thing after getting a PhD: working for Bell Labs, IBM Watson Research Labs, etc). A contemporary of mine (also Martin's) from UIUC/Coordinated Science Laboratory/AARG ended up at Bell Labs, & he told me back in '95 that there was an unfortunate shift to short-term Applied Research. Bean counters wanted real world results immediately (long term research has always shown great RoI..just let time work its magic).

<b>Breaking News:</b>
the Industrial development partner (Offroad racing team) for Xtrac, just won their class over the weekend, in a 300 mile offroad race. They also got 3rd overall. They overcame 1 years worth of tranny breakage (2007), & sucessfully developed a winning driveline package (incl Xtrac tranny, torque limiters, etc). They are looking forward to the upcoming Baja 1000 for a strong finish, & coveted season points championship.

<b>Lesson Learned:</b>
It took over a YEAR of development, to work thru the "engineering issues". Ask yourself this, does Tesla have the initiative & resources to do this kind of thing? Time Critical, Mission Critical. Inherent delays in solving engineering issues, could be mission critical (missed deadlines could be fatal to company's survival).

In a country who has send a man to the moon in the last century, turning Clintons left, hefty US government surplus in a deficit, run the international US reputation into the mud and Telsa having a owner aiming at sending Jane/Jim into space for vacation?

I dont get it.
Do they have the (imported) tires ready?
Sure?

Gimme a break

Have to agree with you here.

Back from Martin's time at UIUC/Coordinated Science Laboratory/AARG, his summer boss (when Martin was a summer intern in '81) was quoted:

"The Japanese use the tools so fast"

"America is #1 in terms of Creativity. Japan is #1 in terms of applying the knowledge [ Creativity ], & bringing products to Marketplace"
-- Japanese Industrialist

Japan has a Collaborative/Cooperative infrastructure, where Govt & Industry work together. In America, it's more chaotic & disorganized. How can a country with some of the BEST universities in the world ("knowledge centers") foul it up so bad, & not

"I shall give you a 6 word formula for success: Think things through, then follow through"
-- Eddie Rickenbacker, WWI top US fighter pilot

This is why my vision of an R&D Inst (Academic & Industrial partners), a virtual organziation that is like an "umbrella" covering various top universities (Caltech, Univ of Illinois, Georgia-Tech, UC San Diego, et al) & companies (Tesla Motors, Fraunhofer Inst, Daimler-Benz, et al), will be the "then follow through" part of the above success formula.

As a citizen of the USA, I'm frankly ashamed of the lack of Leadership in Washington DC. Recall, the Carl Sagan comment on his COSMOS show on a Landsat image of Washington DC: "No sign of Intelligent Life". He's referring to excesses in military spending (cost overruns), & general stupidity.

[ CONTINUED ]
 
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Meanwhile plain vanilla japanese / korean / european car producers incorporates US StarFighter capabilities in of the shelf cars (less then half Teslas price) while providing a mpg uphill a US car cannot match downhill.

The industrial might of a Honda, Toyota are evident when I see their initiatives for Alternative Energy cars. They have "critical mass", tons of experience (especially manufacturing), deep pockets (to absorb any early costs). How can a startup like TM compete with that? I agree with Martin, that TM needs to partner with a big-name established auto company. TM's contribution was a "wake up call" to the Industry, via Martin's breakthrough/daring vision of the Roadster. I view Martin like Reggie Jackson (NY Yankees, aka "Mr. October"..the clutch hitter):

"I'm [ Martin ] the straw [ instigator ] that stirs the drink [ automotive marketplace ]"
-- Reggie Jackson

Another good analogy is the dormant chemical reaction that is sitting, waiting to go forward (chemists know this as "activation energy"). Such chemical reactions, need a CATALYST ("stimulant") to trigger the forward reaction. That "stimulant" was TM, courtesy of Martin Eberhard. This, I feel, is the real contribution of Tesla Motors. It woke up GM (Bob Lutz exclaimed "If TM can do it, why can GM?" Duh.), & the rest of the Automotive Industry.

I think this R&D Inst I'm proposing, would be a key factor in supporting future entrepeneurial efforts in Alternative Energy. It taps into the Intellectual Property of US (excellent universities, which attract top talent..Martin is a prime example), & provides some Collaborative/Cooperation between Academia & Industry. Duh. This was demonstrated already by NCSA/National Ctr for Supercomputing Applications (initiated/created by Dr. Larry Smarr/UIUC, another "Martin") involving Cornell, Univ of Minnesota, UIUC, UC San Diego, where it was recognized that some sort of virtual "umbrella" was required to make the next step in Computing. Same situation for Alternative Energy. Coincidentally, Dr. Smarr has moved onto UCSD/CalIT2, & he would be ideal to tap into (experience wise) for this NCEA/National Ctr for Energy Applications. Get Martin on board (another UIUC visionary), Dr. Steve Cross (another UIUC/Coordinated Science Laboratory/AARG alumni like Martin, who is now Vice President of Georgia-Tech & President of GTRI..the latter which is involved with battery technology research), Dr. Andrew Chien (Director of Research & VP of Corporate Technology @Intel, a fellow summer '81 intern with Martin at AARG, formerly with UCSD Computer Science Dept..his dad was Martin's supervisor that summer of '81). You essentially have a "dream team" of powerful/smart people, & this R&D Inst could get approved "top-down approach" (rather than bottom up, competing with a zillion other proposals).

[ BTW, I actually did such a thing myself in '06, where I utilized a key contact (again, a UIUC/EE PhD '94 in Artificial Intelligence..this is the area of study by Martin @UIUC, his masters thesis was in Robotics..his advisor was my MS thesis advisor, btw), who happened to be Vice-President & Director of Research at XXX (800 million dollar govt contractor in Virginia). They were involved with an Automotive Racing related contract (same field as the offroad racing team who is a development partner for Xtrac, who scored 1st, 3rd, 1st at this years races) ]

I hear Martin is considering some entrepeneurial options, according to an online article. Whew.. Man, this could be another TM type of a deal, where you're "fishing". There sure as heck better be an R&D Inst ("umbrella" of protection, against engineering issues) internally, as well as externally (my vision of an NCEA). As per Bobby Baldwin (famous Las Vegas casino executive, Steve Wynne's right hand man for many years, offroad racer, & friend of mine):

"Risk Management"

TM failed to heed the lessons of Managing Risk, failed to minimize risk by instituting a R&D program (ala Fraunhofer Inst), got caught "throwing money at the problem" (tranny vendors Xtrac & Magna), ran into a major tranny bugaboo, didn't allow the vendors to work out the problem (this SH*T takes time!), incurred a major delay in Roadster delivery. Then, visionary founder Martin was (unfairly) ejected, along with other luminaries (W. Rippel..Aerovironment & Caltech alumni, & Judy Estrin). Do you think any UIUC or Caltech engineering grad will consider TM as a viable employer?? What is Judy Estrin (iconic figure in Silicon Valley startups) is telling her inner circle of entrepeneurial friends?

[ CONTINUED ]
 
In windscreen (laser) beamed car information and build in constant Internet / mail / radio / GPS access are standard.
Solar roofs for cooling cars when parked is available even on a (former eastern block) Skoda.
Seats rumbling (announcing) when a Citroen crosses a line on the road or wakes sleepy drivers are no head-turners anymore.
Radar detection of car distances are common - road signs recognition by video camera and warning is here.

A (10 year old) Lotus Elise is 1/3 of Telsas (same old model) price and has (besides carrying traditionally a british e.g. extremely shabby finish - teapot in the door) at least a working gearbox - for the difference in price to the Tesla you can drive a whole life at 5 € a gallon

There was a comment from an insider (TM apparently), on one of the recent online articles. Bad fit, intolerable road noise at highway speeds (destroys any concept of high-end audio experience with JVC based stereo), etc. Man, that was some worrisome feedback!

I will say, that TM has still achieved a breakthrough (despite issue you mention above). A small startup was able to fire a "shot over the bow", in the face of Automotive Industry. You have to credit entrepeneurial spirit of USA, where it has the environment to support such efforts. A Caltech Computer Science prof of mine told me:

"Business Infrastructure [ in USA ] is very good!"

This is how Martin pulled off the TM coup, but in the end it was too much focus on Business (& lacking in R&D program), that was their decline. Their future is still up in the air. Can they "figure it out", & save themselves? It's up to them (mainly, "it starts from the top"..that guy), & time will only tell.

It might have been "silver lining" that Martin (& others) are gone & left to use the lessons from TM, to create their next Entrepeneurial project.

"May you live in Interesting Times"
-- Chinese proverb

It will certainly be interesting to watch Martin's next move, as well as the entire Alternative Energy market. My vision of an R&D Inst will surely play a factor.
 
"May you live in Interesting Times"
-- Chinese proverb

It will certainly be interesting to watch Martin's next move, as well as the entire Alternative Energy market. My vision of an R&D Inst will surely play a factor.

I worked in China for a elongated time and know very well what it means in China to wish
somebody to "...live in Interesting Times"

Actually your wishing Martin with your quote
drifting dead in cold water tits up - having died the hard way...
 
Mechanical Engineering is Difficult

The electric motor in the Tesla has a torque curve quite unlike that of an IC engine. The loads are rather different. Most vehicle transmissions are optimised for an IC engine. It should be no surprise that designing a multispeed transmission for the Roadster was more difficult than it seemed at first glance.

When the M1 Abrams tank was in development, the crews discovered that they could shift the electronically controlled transmission into reverse before the tank stopped moving forward. The gas turbine powering the tank would yank the 70 ton tank backwards much more quickly than one would expect.

The crews used this feature to invent the "bow tie" manuver. The tank would pop up over the crest of the hill and immediately shift into reverse. The gunner would lay the sights on the target and fire the stablized gun as the tank reversed into cover again. (In a tank, the best way to survive being hit is to not get hit. )

Unfortunately, this trashed the transmission rather quickly. With millions more development money than Tesla (back in the 70s, when a million dollars was real money) they couldn't fix it. There is now an interlock to prevent shifting into reverse before the tank comes to a stop.
 
As for your political diatribe

It is pretty obvious that the USA is showing the strain of being not only the West's strategic reserve but furnishing most of its front line troops since 1945. We have made some very bad compromises. We have dodged fundamental debates on domestic policy so that we could also avoid division on foreign policy. It hasn't always worked.

It is high time we had those debates. When President Eisenhower warned us against the "Military and Industrial Complex" he didn't tell half of it. There is an advocacy, bureaucratic, and commercial complex in every policy area.

It is also high time we rethought our foreign policy. You may not like the results. While we helped fend off the Warsaw Pact we also provided ballast in the European boat. Whether we jump out or are pushed that boat may not be so stable as you think. President Washington wisely warned us against entangling alliances.

I personally think we should go back to the foreign policy of the other Roosevelt, the one tonybelding quoted. He won the Nobel Peace prize, after all. He also snookered the British and Japanese into limiting the number of their battleships, so that we wouldn't have to build them, either.

"Talk softly and carry a big stick" (emphasis added) sounds better all the time.
 
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I think this thread is wandering, but so do some of my rants.

TM's problems are due to scope creep and letting the better be the enemy of the good.

The original concept was to put together off-the-shelf technology in a new way. Martin seems to have a knack for that. He did it with the Rocketbook before. The Nuvomedia business model didn't work out, but there was nothing really wrong with the technology that a few firmware revisions couldn't fix.

The technical problem with electric cars has always been the battery. It must have the capacity to give it useful range in a small enough package.

The business problem has always been the expense of an adequate battery. The EV1 cost twice as much to build as GM's reference price on the leases. The NiMH battery pack had to have made that worse. I doubt Toyota or Ford made money on their EVs, either.

The ESS seems to me to be a hack, not a kludge. It's aimed at both the technical and economic issues.

The Tesla Roadster was originally designed to be profitable from the start. It was supposed to recoup the development costs and then finance development of new cars.

The transmission development delay has put a crimp in that scheme, but I think the increasing cost of transportation has also been a factor. Cheap transportation made distributed manufacturing cost effective in all sorts of industries that are now having to readjust. The falling dollar is also a problem.

I have hopes for Tesla. I think they see selling into the European market as a way to reduce some of their expenses and make the exchange rates work for them.

The Roadster is a cool car. I doubt I'll ever be able to afford one, but I wish them great success.
 
That the US army is technically not the fittest anymore and leaves much to wish for is no state secret - anymore.

If DARPA would not engage, contract & invite private companies and campuses they would buy arches & arrows in China.
So they buy only the computers there:)

Joke aside.

The private industry is always further advanced and has far more pepper in the ass then the state one. Thats a rule over centuries.

Even Chruschow & Gorbatchov
(now acting as dress-men for Luis Vuitton leather bags)
found that out - late but still.

Look at any modern cruise ship - I just returned from a cruise and found to my astonishment that basically ALL modern cruise ship build today are powered by electric motors.

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Converteam - Marine Propulsion Systems
The technology on then MSC lines (Orchestra) are even smarter then the one on the Queen Mary 2, by Aker Yards France done for the Cunard Line – Converteam's electric propulsion is 4 pods totalling 86MW.

The engines are outside the ship in the water so reducing vibrations.

On the MSC Orchestra (delivered 2007) the engines (running on fixed speed - delivering so much electricity - 70 Megawatt / 6.600 Volt - you could lit Naples twice with) produced electricity is feed to two outboard ! engines on 380 degrees rotable propellers.

I was in the engine room myself and saw the engines (running on solid oil tar or near asphalt, not diesel - she ship processes the tar on board - saves money) & generators with my own eyes - huge like a 2 story house.

Dont tell me kids stories that the development of a tiny gearbox for a comparable ultra-simple Tesla car is rocket science in a country having send men to the moon, McDonalds system to Beijing and Coke to Moscow - and huge electric seagoing vessels to the sea.

(Actually a French shipyard send them to the sea - but thats another story)
 
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