Always find it interesting how release feedback varies from person to person. For "me" 10.8.1 is the easily the best release so far so you may want to amend your statement to "Because it's a mess for
me"
Words taken right out of my mouth
One’s definition of “stable” depends on your expectations and comparisons to other builds. Seeing how 10.9 reboots randomly, 10.10 also has that reboot bug and also crashes into pylons and very dangerously exposes itself to oncoming traffic on unprotected lefts, I think 10.8.1 is a superior build, if not more stable. To each his own though. Cleveland is very different from CA, too.
I didn't say that 10.8.1 wasn't the most stable release so far. In fact that seems very likely to me. Based on what I've read of the newer builds, it does sound like they are regressing. But that doesn't change the fact that none of them are very stable.
And, yes, it is quite possible that it is worse in my environment than yours because it does seem to respond very badly to having a foot of snow on each side of the road covering the curbs and edge lines. But this is a very common situation in a huge portion of the country (let alone the world), so it's not exactly an edge case.
Saying that something is "best" does not necessarily imply that it is excellent, or even "good". Saying that something is "most stable" does not imply that it is stable in any absolute sense. So I stand by my assessment, and yet I don't disagree with either of you.
I’m starting to get the feeling they’ve reached a limit with the current software and/or hardware and are trying to figure out/testing what’s next. Elon said FSD beta would get better as the NN was trained, and it did up until the latest couple releases. Now we’re in a stagnant phase with limited to no improvement and even regressions.
I‘ve read that all Teslas with the FSD computer ”play” FSD whether your using it or not, and compare what the driver does to what it would do and send those variances to Tesla to train the NN. Well, it must not be that simple because how are these issues not fixed yet? There certainty not a lack of data.
FSD beta still makes common mistakes, and they’re pretty basic maneuvers, such as turning left into oncoming traffic. Not exactly edge cases. I see the current setup like trying to train a goldfish. You might be able to teach it simple tricks, and it will perform most of the time, but its not going to drive you to the store, no matter how much information you give it.
Yes, exactly. We are rightfully very impressed with all that it can do. It's also easy to see its failings, some of which are egregious. And it's easy to see all of its missing features (school zones, most road signs, railroad crossings, etc.). But I think we fail to see the huge range of subtle common sense things that humans evaluate while driving.
Things like knowing exactly when to enter a left turn lane that is shared with traffic going in the other direction. Knowing exactly how far left to be in my own lane when the lane to my left is empty and I am passing a semi on my right. Knowing that it is inherently unsafe to remain adjacent to other cars and speeding up or slowing down slightly to create a safer driving situation. Knowing how to look ahead or behind in the lane beside me so I can speed up or slow down to find the best place to change lanes. Knowing how to make a smooth turn into a lane that I can't see clearly as I enter it. Learning from that turn how to do it better next time. Knowing not to accelerate or decelerate on a wet bridge when the temperature is near freezing. Knowing how to "feel" the road conditions under my wheels from moment to moment. Knowing to keep away from a driver who appears to be driving unsafely. Knowing that I need to leave more room in front of me if the driver in front of me is tailgating the car in front of him. Knowing how humans negotiate at a 4-way stop sign. Deciding when to trust or not trust a turn signal from another driver. I'm barely scratching the surface here. This list could go on and on and on.
And those are just the few that I can think of. There are likely many more that don't even occur to me until I find myself in a given situation. And there are probably even more that I do without even being aware of them.
So even if 10.8.1 is the best and most stable version so far, I still think it is doing no more than about 5% of what is necessary to be a skilled driver. It has a very long way to go. And the car doesn't appear to have enough computing capacity to do all that it needs to do in real time.
I don't claim to be an expert. I could be wrong about some of these things. I spent most of my career developing software, so I probably know a little more than others, but not a lot more. Still, I think a lot of my observations should be obvious to anyone who takes a good look at it.