I think you’re being extremely optimistic. From what I’ve seen, the release is nowhere close to being ready for a public release. It is EXTREMELY IMPRESSIVE, but I liken it to my home full of Amazon echos, being extremely impressive 9/10 times makes that one time it ****s up even more annoying because you come to expect it to be impressive and then one time instead of the fifteen minute timer you thought you set, instead it set a fifty minute timer and your chicken gets over cooked and dry to the point of inedibility. The same holds true here, IMO, where ironically being extremely impressive 99/100 times makes the one time the system ****s up more annoying, but instead of setting an inaccurate timer or playing the wrong song, it’s the driver not paying attention while their five thousand pound vehicle does something wrong while going at speed. The consequences here are a lot more serious. 99/100 means at least a small percentage of people will start to take the system for granted and we have a FSD BETA accident, or god forbid a fatality and a deluge of public relations nightmares comes down on Tesla.
A limited release let’s Tesla personally vet people and personally emphasize that they’re all testers and to be aware of the dangers and limitations of the system over the phone and then have those same people sign a bunch of documents also emphasizing the risks of using the system like Mr Cook said they did with him. By having everyone do that, it’s less likely people will take the system for granted. It’s easier for them to control a small population to try to minimize the chances of an individual user misusing the system. If they did a wide general release, then it would be very difficult to impossible for Tesla to do the same for everyone who would receive the update, and having a pop up or even a number of pop ups come up on the screen before enabling the system where the user has to confirm doesn’t have the same effect, as anyone who has ever skipped past the dozens of EULAs everyone who installed software/apps on their computer/smartphone can attest. I dare say the vast majority of people don’t read the text of the EULAs and just hit confirm.
I hope you’re right, because I do want the system on my car. I’ve delighted in the progression of visualizations on my car and I use AP at nearly every opportunity, but my biggest fear of Tesla doing a quick general wide release would be a quick, enforced clawback a few months down the road and huge scrutiny permanently gimping the capability of my car because of some tragedy. I just don’t see it happening because I think Tesla well understands the risks of public over-reaction and the potential for government crackdown, and will be very sure to do everything they can to perfect the system before a wide release, which likely means multiple waves of slow increases of users as they stop getting enough relevant data from current beta testers to occupy their team before any kind of wide release, which is likely to take a great deal more time than by the end of the year.