Well we all know what happens when you assume..... You can't fix stupid.
Agree. I can't decide if the fixation on $35k asp from the naysayers is just being stupid or intentionally misleading. Both of course.
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Well we all know what happens when you assume..... You can't fix stupid.
Small nitpick. You forgot about 1500 Roadsters.So, taking this to its logical conclusion, here's an estimate of the tax credit status using estimated sales #s from the Morgan Stanley report (which uses N America vs US, so this is still not entirely accurate. I imagine Canada/Mexico sales are quite small vs. USA though, so it should be relatively close).
2012/2013: 22k
2014: 20k
2015: 38k
2016: 46k
2017: 85k
-----------
211k, implying phase-out begins 3/31/18 @ 50%, 9/31/18 @ 25%.
The key factor to me is price comparison to ICE vehicles. That means you have to take fuel and maintenance into account. If gas prices rise by 30% before the Model E comes out, $40k is plenty price competitive. $35k is a good goal, but there is some room for slippage in the price. What Tesla needs to do is bring the price of quality electric vehicles down, rather than getting the same value, just a lower price and less good vehicle.
I'm really hoping the P+ variant will be competitive with the S4 and M3 on the track (not drag strip, yuck).
I'm really hoping the P+ variant will be competitive with the S4 and M3 on the track (not drag strip, yuck).
I think the fully loaded Sig Perf Model E (NOT the new roadster which may be on the same platform) will be 3x the entry price (just as it was with the Model S 50K>>>>>140K) but it should do 0-60 > 3.2 sec with 300mi range.
Elon has already said that he intends for Model E to beat the M3. And this is Elon we're talking about, so I'm inclined to take him at his word. And I hope he does, as I'm planning to get a Sig Perf Model E.
The Sig Model S 85kWh was about $100,000
I could totally live with thatElon has already said that he intends for Model E to beat the M3. And this is Elon we're talking about, so I'm inclined to take him at his word. And I hope he does, as I'm planning to get a Sig Perf Model E.
I could totally live with that
And the M3 beater will be M3 priced.
You think there will be a $70+k Model E? That's entirely possible but starts to cross into Model S pricing. I guess a Performance Model E with all the options would reach that but the M3 starts at $72,000 or so without any options so crosses well over $80k with options.
Yep. I agree w/ Kevin. I do hope they build a 4WD performance Model E to rival the M3/M4. It's been Elon's stated goal to follow 3-series pricing and this would fit w/ that - $35k-$100k. I also agree w/ ckessel that 2018 is a more realistic time frame - which is the time I'll be looking to replace my Roadster. So fingers crossed!You think there will be a $70+k Model E? That's entirely possible but starts to cross into Model S pricing. I guess a Performance Model E with all the options would reach that but the M3 starts at $72,000 or so without any options so crosses well over $80k with options.
Yep. I agree w/ Kevin. I do hope they build a 4WD performance Model E to rival the M3/M4. It's been Elon's stated goal to follow 3-series pricing and this would fit w/ that - $35k-$100k. I also agree w/ ckessel that 2018 is a more realistic time frame - which is the time I'll be looking to replace my Roadster. So fingers crossed!
Just as a 3 series crosses over into a 5 Series.
Yep. I agree w/ Kevin. I do hope they build a 4WD performance Model E to rival the M3/M4. It's been Elon's stated goal to follow 3-series pricing and this would fit w/ that - $35k-$100k. I also agree w/ ckessel that 2018 is a more realistic time frame - which is the time I'll be looking to replace my Roadster. So fingers crossed!