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Highest production VIN in the wild
- Thread starter insaneoctane
- Start date
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- Tags
- Model 3
Bet TSLA
Active Member
So where would it be useful to people doing tracking to report the VIN #'s I saw, preferable anonymously?
Theoretically, you should write
!vinbot Model 3 #2556
and all subsequent numbers.
Then it goes here:
Model 3 VINs
!vinbot Model 3 #2556
and all subsequent numbers.
Then it goes here:
Model 3 VINs
Bet TSLA
Active Member
Nice, but I want anonymity, so I'm not going to do that. I don't see any way to get them a bunch of VINs without posting publicly.
Todd Burch
14-Year Member
I saw VIN 959 on Monday at the Cleveland Service Center, being prepped, apparently for delivery this week. They wouldn’t tell me if that was for a Tesla employee or not. But in any case, that’s the first Model 3 I personally encountered here in Ohio!
hill
high fiber member
maybe those are the rejects . . . . . . looking for a good source of spare parts?
joking aside, on our factory tour last year - we were surprised to see such a big pile of recognizable body parts that the guide acknowledged were 'scrap'. I'd love to know what kind of scrap rate is going on w/ the 3.
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so i've seen multiple videos with parking lots full of tesla but its not clear which location its in or if its the same parking lot filmed by different people. any insight? which parking lots have we seen and how many cars each contained?
my understanding and is probably incorrect:
marina del mar ~130 cars
fremont ~150-250 cars
This video is probably taken on Kato Rd next to the 880 on the southern end of the factory. Looks like they finished the parking lot, it wasn't done when I was there mid Oct.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
The other videos from this past weekend were taken at Fremont delivery center, which is ~1 mi south of the factory on the other side of HW880. So these are two different groups of 100's of M3 in Fremont.
Ken Edwards
SUN PWR
Garlan Garner
Banned
This year? That would probably mean producing at a 3K/week average rate for the remainder of 2017.
With 2.5 weeks left in 2017, and the highest VIN spotted in the 2500s, ~6K produced this year is probably about the upper limit of a best case scenario today, and 2017 deliveries will be lower than total vehicles produced. My optimistic guess is 4,200 deliveries out of a few hundred more produced.
Garlan Garner
Banned
You are probably right. Its just that I'm probably around 250,000 in line. Only 1% of the way. Oh well.
One thing though that perplexes me. Why are non-employees configuring. There has to be more than 2000 employees that ordered a Model 3.
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
1. They might want to wait for currently unavailable options.
2. They might have reserved with the theory that they'd flip the cars and make profit.
3. A lot of people are willing to put down a refundable $1k, but when it's time to make an actual commitment, that's a bigger deal. I heard a rumor (again… rumor, not stating this as fact) that the Model X reservation -> order/purchase conversation rate was as low as 9%. Not 19%, or 49%. 9%. I've personally figured there's no way that more than 50% of the reservations would be orders *ever*, and I'd be kinda surprised if more than 15% become "First Production" orders.
4. A lot of people want to lease, and can't.
Garlan Garner
Banned
