As of early 2019, there were only 6,500 fuel cell passenger vehicles on the road in the US. And most (nearly all?) of those were leases.
That's what?... literally less than 0.01% of the entire US auto fleet? Wheeeee... LOOK OUT WORLD, hydrogen's COMIN'!!!
But, it's understandable. As in, why in the
world would anyone buy a hydrogen vehicle right now? So they can wait for years and years for the infrastructure to (maybe) build out, so they can actually
drive somewhere? So they can go from 0 to 60 in a blistering 9 seconds? So they can claim to be 'green', even though the H2 is still largely coming from natural gas and is dumping many, many tons of carbon into the air, just like ICEs? Oy.
Yeah, yeah, we know... someday these problems will be solved, or at least lessened. But by then, how much better have BEVs become? Battery EVs are not a stationary target, after all. The costs of batteries keep coming down (markedly!), the energy density and range keeps going up, and things like the V3 superchargers and new battery chemistries will continue to reduce road trip charging times (though most ppl most of the time will be conveniently charging at home). What exactly will hydrogen have to hang its hat on as all this is going down?
Hint: Damn little. Sorry, Toyota. I know you've invested billions in your 'future vision of transport', which was hybrids –> plug-in hybrids –> fuel cells, but sometimes the real word doesn't cooperate. Get on the BEV train or get left behind. The writing's on the wall.
I do feel slightly bad for FCVs, though... it's the 'what if' angle. It's sort of obvious that there's going to be only one big successor to ICE, and if there had been no Elon/Tesla bringing BEVs to the fore on an aggressive timeline, who knows... BEVs might've showed up to the party in force a decade later than they did, and we might be having a different conversation.
But, we're not.
Toyota et al will go down swinging on FCVs, but they will go down. FCVs will eventually mitigate most of their problems, but not before BEVs improve to the point where it's moot. The end result is obvious, even if it will take a few years to play out.
So, R.I.P. FCVs. We hardly knew ye.
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