I'm not so sure the model is so varied. You have L2 charging at home or work and L3 for trips.
At the moment, and for the foreseeable future, some potential EV owners can't charge at home. Some such users can't charge at work, either -- they might work from home, for instance. For such potential owners, the trick is to find charging options that fit their needs. With Level 2 charging at home and at work out of the picture, that leaves public charging. I see these options as fitting into three broad categories:
- Current DC fast charging (25-150kW) -- This speed can work well at locations where the driver expects to spend ~1/2 hour to an hour -- say at restaurants, grocery stores, etc.
- Level 2 fast charging -- This is optimal where the owner is likely to park for over an hour. Such locations include malls, movie theaters, libraries, parks, etc. Charging at Level 2 speeds has several advantages over current DC fast charging:
- It's usually cheaper (currently, and likely in the future).
- It's less damaging to batteries.
- If you know that you'll be parked at some location for (say) two hours, and if Level 2 speeds are sufficient for that time frame to fully charge the battery, then plugging in to a DC fast charger for that long, thus hogging it for an hour or more beyond the time you'd actually be using it, would be rude.
- Significantly faster DC fast charging (~400+ kW) -- At speeds significantly higher than what we have now, DC fast charging could be as fast as filling an ICE vehicle's tank at a gas station. This would then be an easy "sell" to owners familiar with that process. Right now, nothing quite matches those speeds, though, and the required speeds go up with the car's size. Also, such high speeds may wreak havoc with battery longevity. We may get to this point eventually, but we're far from there now, so we (as a society) should focus on the two preceding options.
As others have said, there's also the question of plug-in hybrids, which don't support anything faster than J1772, with (AFAIK) just one exception. A friend of mine owns such a car (a Ford C-MAX Energi) and relies on public Level 2 charging for it. In truth, she doesn't really charge that much right now, but she's moving soon to a location with a public Level 2 charger nearby, so she'll probably charge it more in the future.
Of course, some of these factors might change in the future. Regulations requiring Level 2 EVSEs at all rental properties, on street parking near apartments, and at places of employment would make other public charging options less critical. There would likely be people who would "slip through the cracks" of such regulations, though; and there would be implementation questions, demands for exceptions to the rules from landlords and employers, etc. The fact is that we don't know how this will play out as EVs become more common, and in the absence of such knowledge, we as a society need to watch what's happening and adapt. At the moment, public Level 2 charging at malls, libraries, etc., is valuable to some EV owners, IMHO.
The reality is that battery energy density improvements over the next 5-10 years will make level 3 chargers obsolete.
Maybe for day-to-day driving, but not for road trips. I've made three road trips in my Model 3 since buying it, and I would not have attempted them (or bought the Model 3) without DC fast charging.
I'm not sure how this would interact with the issue of apartment-dwellers who can't charge at home, either. A hypothetical future 500kWh battery would take a
long time to charge at Level 2 speeds, so if you take DC fast chargers out of the equation, such an owner would need to have a Level 2 station where they can park for an extended period, if the battery gets low.
At some point all public facing level 2 "chargers" will be required by law to have the same power capacity.
I'm skeptical that this will be regulated. One reason is that there's no
technical reason to implement such a requirement -- the current J1772 protocol can handle a wide variety of charge rates with no problem, so having a mixture of hardware speeds doesn't prevent somebody from charging at an EVSE with significantly more or less capacity than the car. I don't see a significant harm to citizens to having a variety of Level 2 amperages/wattages in public stations. Sure, it's a bummer if you plug in an LR Model 3 to a station that can only deliver, say, 24A; but is that really a major harm? If you live in the area and rely on public chargers, you'll learn which ones are faster quickly enough, and the market will take care of the rest. This contrasts with, say, the potential for sky-high DC fast charging rates because of utility demand charges, which is a problem that may eventually require regulation to control. (Maybe the marketplace will take care of that without regulation, though; it's too soon to tell, IMHO.)