The graphic assumes Model 3 misses all deadlines. If Model 3 achieves a volume of 100,000 by the end of Q4 2017 then they will have hit 200,000 US deliveries in Q4 2017 which is three quarters earlier than that graphic shows. If not, and the ramp up is still fairly quick then they hit the 200,000 in Q1 2018... still two quarters earlier than the graphic. The graphic is 11 months old. Since then we've learned that the Model 3 ramp up will be significantly faster and the Bolt will be sold in lower volume than expected. Here's the newer graphic: If it's correct then you may be right!