That’s great! When did you configure? (You said you got the invite on 2/15).
Oh, and was 4/20 the earliest date option they gave you for delivery?
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Wiki Model 3 Order Tracking Spreadsheet
- Thread starter RubberToe
- Start date
That’s great! When did you configure? (You said you got the invite on 2/15).
Oh, and was 4/20 the earliest date option they gave you for delivery?
Meant configured on 2/15, was invited 2/14. Right now 4/20 is the earliest. ISA said date could move up. So 9+ weeks to delivery if 4/20 holds true.
doubleatheman
Member
Ordered 3/31/2016 In store Corte Madera 10:23 AM PST
Invite 2/28/2018
Configured 2/28/2018
Vin 3/30/2018
Black Aero EAP Vin: 101XX
Invite 2/28/2018
Configured 2/28/2018
Vin 3/30/2018
Black Aero EAP Vin: 101XX
Received my Model 3 yesterday, great delivery experience. Went through all the items in the forum delivery check list. Absolutely no issues, the build was absolutely stunning. I picked up and drove about 240 miles without any need to stop for gas (strange feeling to stop at the gas station 
).
We also got a Easter egg gift (the mini model 3!!).
configured 2/15, VIN 3/21, delivery 03/29, East Coast
). We also got a Easter egg gift (the mini model 3!!).
configured 2/15, VIN 3/21, delivery 03/29, East Coast
seangoggin
Member
Maybe they are doing Canada on Tuesday because it takes 2 days to ship the cars there.
The point of the invites is to fill the production queue. Ideally (Invites rate - deferral %) = assembly rate = delivery rate.
Received my Model 3 yesterday, great delivery experience. Went through all the items in the forum delivery check list. Absolutely no issues, the build was absolutely stunning. I picked up and drove about 240 miles without any need to stop for gas (strange feeling to stop at the gas station
We also got a Easter egg gift (the mini model 3!!).
configured 2/15, VIN 3/21, delivery 03/29, East Coast
Could you please point me to the checklist?
Great news for you (I have to do a double take when I see your name). Not sure why with so many earlier configurations still waiting for black that those with later dates get cars. I hope I get mine (config 3/1 exactly 4 weeks ago) SOON but would feel guilty if those from 2/15 still don't have cars. Enjoy it!
Waiting4M3
Active Member
VIN 14xxx assigned, SoCal, non-owner, 3/31/16 reservation date
General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable
General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable
doubleatheman
Member
That's honestly why I posted, I know I've gotten it out of order. It caught me by surprise, no ISA call yet though, I'm not expecting it untill mid next week with this quarter push happening now. I assumed it was since I'm within 150 miles of the Fremont factory, but from the spreadsheet some others with my config on 2/15 or 2/22 are as well...
chojn1
Member
Update from the spreadsheet:
I know we have been collecting a whole lot of data on the Model 3 Invites Spreadsheet.
And it is tempting to pore over each individual data sets to glean more new detailed information.
Me, I like to see the big picture.
Look at Troy's VIN graph below, for example, rather than looking at each individual points, line, or slopes, I like to take a step back and squint my eyes (not very hard to do in my case).
If you do that, you'll see a very interesting pattern.
Cut the chart horizontally at VIN 7000. Now take the top half and shift it back 4 weeks. Do you see it?
Apparently, February was a very bad month for production.
March, on the other hand, was excellent. If you accept the red regression curve as it is drawn, then April production is not very impressive (the slope is rather flat). But, if you redraw that line in your shifted graph, then March and April is the start of the exponential growth of the S curve.
Now do the same thing for the yellow graph below cutting at VIN 10,000 and shifting March 1st to February 1st.
My take is Tesla is a month behind on their goals. But, things are picking up - 2500/wk by April 1st.
CJ
I know we have been collecting a whole lot of data on the Model 3 Invites Spreadsheet.
And it is tempting to pore over each individual data sets to glean more new detailed information.
Me, I like to see the big picture.
Look at Troy's VIN graph below, for example, rather than looking at each individual points, line, or slopes, I like to take a step back and squint my eyes (not very hard to do in my case).
If you do that, you'll see a very interesting pattern.
Cut the chart horizontally at VIN 7000. Now take the top half and shift it back 4 weeks. Do you see it?
Apparently, February was a very bad month for production.
March, on the other hand, was excellent. If you accept the red regression curve as it is drawn, then April production is not very impressive (the slope is rather flat). But, if you redraw that line in your shifted graph, then March and April is the start of the exponential growth of the S curve.
Now do the same thing for the yellow graph below cutting at VIN 10,000 and shifting March 1st to February 1st.
My take is Tesla is a month behind on their goals. But, things are picking up - 2500/wk by April 1st.
CJ
Last edited:
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