Good point about delaying the purchase of the ESA just before the four year warranty expires. Depending on the reliability of the 3, you may have saved me some odd $4k there.
To be honest, the comprehensiveness of the ESA will make or break my Model 3 purchase (not sure how many times Tesla rewords the ESA though to the detriment of the customer so maybe I should buy earlier because the Model 3 volume is going to be overwhelming that Tesla might start noticing exponential repair costs and jack up the ESA price accordingly).
With the features I want - memory seat/ winter weather package (part of PUP), just TACC, the $35k base model become almost $49k ($58k with LR in case people report much lower distance this coming winter since my wife needs to drive 140 miles once a week and cannot be bother with charging an EV.). I don't mind the $58k if I can financed it over at least four years at relatively low interest rates but I will be in a terrible state of shock if after four years, non-warrantied items start breaking down and are very costly to repair; and after eight years, the whole car just breaks down.
My wife says her dream car is a BMW and I read that a pure electric X3 will be coming in 2019. Maybe I can get rid of the reliable RAV4 Hybrid then if we do get a Model 3 to make her dream come true. Too bad she doesn't like sedans anymore or the electric 3 series would be interesting too.