refresh Y (juniper) is unlikely to come out in 2024. There hasnt been any leak or spy photos or anything remotely related to it. The highland did and it still was about a year since it released outside US and we are still waiting here. If we see the same thing happen here, MAYBE the refresh juniper Y comes out end of 24, maybe early 25, then the USA will have to wait few months after like how we are with highland 3.
Another thing to consider, model 3 is losing tax credit. That means highland wont get it. Which means the Y will be significantly cheaper IF tesla doesnt change pricing on the Y. I dont think they are that dumb to let that happen as it will hurt sales of highland once it hits USA. My guess is, with news hitting that 3 will lose tax credit, all standing inventory will start selling faster before end of the year. Once 24 hits, standing inventory 3s will either be reduced in price significantly especially if highland becomes available for order. And I'm going for a reach to say Tesla may raise Y prices. This way despite losing tax credits for the 3, model Y will be put in a pricing position to be more expensive even with tax credit, so people will still look at the highland
so basically, you need a car now, you better buy now