Well my number finally came up... after more than 35 years of driving, I had my first flat tire last night
I was on my way to pick up my son from his robotics competition and heard a whap-whap-whap sound from the driver's side rear wheel. I figured it was just a stone stuck in the tread and quickly pulled into a parking lot to inspect it. As soon as I opened the door I heard the hissss and then saw the bolt head sticking out of the tire.
I jacked up the car, removed the wheel off, pulled out the bolt with my Vice-Grips (yes, there was a nut was on the bolt and
yes the nut went through the tire carcass!), shoved 2 plugs through the hole, refilled the tire, reinstalled the wheel, and was on my way in 20 minutes flat. Definitely faster and more convenient than waiting for Tesla Roadside to fix it.
The tire hasn't lost any pressure over night, but as a rule I don't trust plugs. I'm gonna drop the wheel off at my favorite local shop this morning to see if they are willing to proper patch put on the inside... but the hole is on the shoulder so it may not be repairable. Boooo
hooo