I will be doing a daily commute three or four times a week at 130 miles a round trip
I recommend that you try
ABetterRoutePlanner. Choose the Make / Model (or try what-if with different ones - SR vs LR etc. or see how much worse off you would be in a VW
), the longer journey(s) you regularly do, fiddle with WEATHER (Temp = 20C vs. 5C and try that both DRY and WET, you can try 0C [but in reality RAC and AA will be telling you to stay at home !!])
That would also show you where you might charge, and for how long, so if you can't make it at 0C (how many days a year is that?!) then that would tell you what the fall back is.
Also try starting at 90% rather than 100% - ideally you would only use 100% charge on less frequent conditions (and plan to "leave immediately-ish), although for SR with LFP battery then regular 100% charge is fine.
A single long journey in Winter is not too bad. Its the set-off cost that is the problem. If you warm the battery (on mains) before you start that helps. So for a "long journey, without stops" I reckon Winter is 10% worse than Summer.
That is for a single, "full range", journey. You have two - THERE and BACK - for THERE you can pre-condition, for RETURN you can't (I'll assume). The battery will get cold-soaked whilst you are parked there. If you can trickle charge, off 13AMP, whilst you are stationary that would help.
If you are at employers site tell them to get their finger out and install some chargers in their car park! Nearly 50% of the parking bays at my workplace have chargers. Government paid 50% of the cost - THAT won't last forever, and your employer is going to have to do it at some point ... and they can market how "Green" they are
Our work-chargers are free for employees, but there is a QR code on each one - scan to charge - and the software enables re-charging etc. etc. so if we decided to charge its all easy to do.
If you are a travelling salesman, stop for an hour at each client, then all bets are off in Winter!