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Prediction Thread - "You Called It"
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TheTalkingMule
Distributed Energy Enthusiast
The Philadelphia 76ers will be NBA champions within the next 4 seasons.
Oh, and TSLA will be sold to Toyota within the same timeframe.
And Elon will be standing on Mars within 15 years.
Oh, and TSLA will be sold to Toyota within the same timeframe.
And Elon will be standing on Mars within 15 years.
Gerardf
Active Member
I would like to suggest another entry to the list. Maybe this prediction does not follow all the set rules, but so that we never forget this lost bet now that B.S. made himself relevant to the TSLA SP action last week.
December 10, 2014 By Bertel Schmitt :
" If that Autopilot changes lanes automatically at the touch of a blinker stalk by, say, one year from now, in a series Model D, I will publicly eat a Tesla baseball hat on Twitter, Facebook and YouTube. How about it, Elon?"
Source :
Tesla’s game-changing, lane-changing Autopilot? “Currently, there is no radar on the market that can achieve that,” Toyota engineer says - DailyKanban
Background:
Autopilot a fraud? The linked author bets Elon he'll eat a hat if it changes lanes!
December 10, 2014 By Bertel Schmitt :
" If that Autopilot changes lanes automatically at the touch of a blinker stalk by, say, one year from now, in a series Model D, I will publicly eat a Tesla baseball hat on Twitter, Facebook and YouTube. How about it, Elon?"
Source :
Tesla’s game-changing, lane-changing Autopilot? “Currently, there is no radar on the market that can achieve that,” Toyota engineer says - DailyKanban
Background:
Autopilot a fraud? The linked author bets Elon he'll eat a hat if it changes lanes!
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By the end of 2016, Tesla will introduce a new autopilot hardware suite and - more importantly - a new instrument panel for the Model S and X.
This will allow Tesla to:
With continuous deliveries, Tesla will try to make all its models 'state-of-the-art icons'. People might give name to each release (like for the S front update) but Tesla will just call them 'the new S / 3 / X'.
This will allow Tesla to:
- test the new autopilot (passively) and the 'HUD cockpit' concept on a small fleet of cars, a year before the mass production of the 3
- streamline the deployment of technologies to all models of the Tesla fleet
- keep the promise of offering the latest tech to high-end cars, before affordable ones
With continuous deliveries, Tesla will try to make all its models 'state-of-the-art icons'. People might give name to each release (like for the S front update) but Tesla will just call them 'the new S / 3 / X'.
By August 2017 Tesla Incorporates all necessary sensors and hardware for full L4 Autonomy on all models.
2018 Tesla deploys fully autonomous fleet of ModelX operated by a Fleet Management System, accessed through a mobile App.
2018 Tesla deploys fully autonomous fleet of ModelX operated by a Fleet Management System, accessed through a mobile App.
- Fleet operates 24/7 recharging at snake chargers distributed around it's operating area. Snake chargers are also open to Tesla owners on fee per charge basis.
- Rates are comparable to Uber SUV/Black
- Unlike Uber's "surge pricing" the rates are a ceiling not a minimum. The Tesla App offers a range of discount fares in off peak periods making it very affordable for many hours a day.
- Tesla saturates chosen markets so any app user can expect a vehicle to arrive within minutes.
Thanks to the SCTY merger synergies Tesla will surpass Apple's market cap (as of 2015) well before 2025:
Elon Musk: Tesla Could Be Worth As Much As Apple Is By 2025
Tesla will be the most valuable public company on the planet early next decade. Go Elon!
Elon Musk: Tesla Could Be Worth As Much As Apple Is By 2025
Tesla will be the most valuable public company on the planet early next decade. Go Elon!
I simply listen closely to the true insiders. Elon repeated the same goal in his merger call:
Elon Musk sees Tesla (TSLA) becoming a trillion dollar market cap company with the SolarCity (SCTY) merger
Why do people argue over a few billion when Tesla is soon worth a trillion dollars? Elon knows all the inner workings.
Some short-term bean counters just don't get the grand vision.
My prediction is simple and conservative based on his unique insider knowledge at both companies:
Tesla will be worth more than a trillion $ before or by Jan 1, 2025. No brainer.
(If you don't find the sarcasm you can read my signature)
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omgwtfbyobbq
Active Member
I predict Tesla will sell at least 50,000 auto/home power systems per year by 2025.
* Solar panels for electricity, Powerwall/s for frequently cycled nighttime storage, the car for transportation/infrequently used nighttime storage, and something to optimize/tie it all together.
* Solar panels for electricity, Powerwall/s for frequently cycled nighttime storage, the car for transportation/infrequently used nighttime storage, and something to optimize/tie it all together.
I doubt it. Only the March 31 in-store buyers got those letters.
Q2 earnings:
Revenue: $1.61 billion (non-GAAP)
EPS: -$0.63 per share (non-GAAP)
Automotive Gross Margin: 20.8% (non-GAAP)
Free Cash Flow of $-198.5 million
Very large increase (and overall positive) cash flow from core operations, assuming ABL was deployed to borrow against the 5150 cars in transit.
CapEx: $458.1 million
Disclaimer: These are guesses based on a totally amateur model, please don't make an investment decision based on these numbers!
Revenue: $1.61 billion (non-GAAP)
EPS: -$0.63 per share (non-GAAP)
Automotive Gross Margin: 20.8% (non-GAAP)
Free Cash Flow of $-198.5 million
Very large increase (and overall positive) cash flow from core operations, assuming ABL was deployed to borrow against the 5150 cars in transit.
CapEx: $458.1 million
Disclaimer: These are guesses based on a totally amateur model, please don't make an investment decision based on these numbers!
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