This is the lease document that didn't upload properly above-which i closed yesterday.
The tesla owner advisor did say that they were running a lease deal for deliveries in Q1. However, based on current information on the teslamotors website the residuals have to be substantially in excess of these noted above.
Analysis-
For comparison, I just got off the teslamotors web site and configured a vehicle exactly the same as the one below for April delivery. It is showing a 3 ys, 15k lease, $5k cap cost reduction for $1097 per month vs a $1026 amount shown below-a $71 (6.92%) difference per month or $2,556 over the lease term.
A 52% residual would result in a residual value of $47, 034 vs the $57,248 in the lease below- a difference of $10, 214.
If the current residual value was in fact 52%, the lease payments over the three years would have to increase by $10,214 plus the IRR on the incremental $10, 214. This amount is substantially in excess of the 3 year lease payment differential of $2,556 noted above.
Conclusion
Although the current lease offer is not a good as the one in place for Q1 2016, the residual values have to be substantially in excess the 52% noted above. My estimation is that the residual value would be in the range of 61% (57,248-(.88 X 2556)=54,999/90450=60.7%)
View attachment 167850