Good work in Belarus getting that A50 Mainstay AWACS. Russia doesn't have many of those, and they are definitely high value targets.
Personally I expect (and also hope) that in the event of a successful Ukraine outcome, then there will be a revolution in Belarus and the opposition will get back the election that was stolen from them. It is notable that the Belarus opposition seems to have been in on this and are teamed with Ukraine. Also in that outcome I expect Transnistria to get tidied away PDQ and Moldova to escape Russian clutches. (Georgia is more difficult, that will tend more on events within Russia).
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Europe has some pretty significant challenges converting completely to renewables. I don't think they can do it without also adopting nuclear power. Cambridge Physics professor David MacKay laid out the math making an all renewable future for Europe problematic.
He unfortunately died in 2016 and some advancements have been made since, but the hill is still very steep. Carbon Commentary updated his figures in 2017 based on what was known then. They point out the problem is a little easier, but it was still huge. The cost of installing enough renewables to serve all of the UK at a level of 50KWH per person per day had dropped from 93K Euros to 18K Euros. It may be lower today, but the at 18K Euros that costs 1.1 trillion Euros. And that's just the UK.
Keeping David MacKay's 'Sustainable Energy - without the hot air' up-to-date | Carbon Commentary
Mackay is (was) plain wrong. The energy numbers for Europe are easier than the energy numbers for USA. Transformation is possible, and is happening in both areas and in fact globally. The key issue is the economics. Mackay doesn't (didn't) understand the sheer ongoing cost of getting fossils out the ground, i.e. the transition can be paid for; or that renewables are getting progressively better and cheaper. The data on this is already clear - that was why I bothered to run the numbers in my own global energy model during the last week or so.
In some ways WW II was the world's first energy war.
Europe should pursue renewables as much as is feasible, but they are not going to get 100% there with renewables alone.
Actually WW1 was the first energy (and steel) war. The Germans almost managed to get the Franco-Belgian coal fields, and if they'd done that it would have been game over. If you look in some of the WW1 photos you can see pictures of the pit draworks literally on the front lines and still operating.
As I've said above (and modelled, and worked on practically) it is possible for all the world to go fully renewables
And I guess it's possible that other nations fill in for the Swedish Air Force (FV) while the FV rebuilds with new fighter jets,
Sweden has been umming and ahing about what to do with its early model Gripen A/B (and C/D) now that Sweden has transitioned to late model Gripen E/F. I think there are somewhere between 20-60 aircraft that are in the pool of 'available' at the C/D state and which could be leased/gifted/sold.
en.wikipedia.org
Croatia is finding its compass now points more firmly to the West: Croatia plans to transfer 14 Mi-8 and Mi-17 helicopters to Ukraine within the next month,
For those with an interest in JDAM-ER, noting that it will need to be low level releases.
JDAM-ER actually has Australian roots in the Kerkanya project, one of the elements of the tests of which was precisely a low-altitude drop from pitching in conditions of active enemy air defense
en.defence-ua.com
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