Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

[Johan]

That's for the utilities to manage. The critical question is how much revenue these assets can generate over the next 30 years. Every GW of distributed solar installed knocks out about 1.4 TWh of net demand for utilities in perpetuity. Utilizatiin falls and revenue per MWh falls. If gross income from generation drops below depreciation, then utilities are in serious trouble. If utilities start missing payments on debt, then bond investors are in trouble. So the question is how quickly can distributed solar penetrate this market. If utilities do not lower retail rates, they will accelerate the transition.

Last sentence: they're damned if they do, damned if they don't. Only way out is to become a company based around solar.

 

[doggusfluffy]

Tesla: The profit in the desert - NASDAQ.com

There are cult stocks, and there are cult stocks , and there is Tesla. Unapologetically emotional, Tesla investors seem to buy, literally, at any price, then hold forever, no matter what. No argument can persuade them that TSLA stock is overpriced, or even, if it were, that they should care. This, of course, is a big problem.

Any thoughts on his strangle proposal?

Tesla Motors Inc. isl to build battery storage systems for Escondido high schools. | SanDiegoUnionTribune.com

The three Escondido schools — Escondido High School, Orange Glen High School and San Pasqual High School — would receive anwyere from 400- to 600-kilowatt battery storage systems.

Simonson estimates that the stationary battery storage systems could collectively cut the school district’s rising utility costs by as much as $300,000 annually after they become operational at the end of the year.


“It’s an exciting future for us,” Simonson said.

 

[mejojo]

Tesla: The profit in the desert - NASDAQ.com


Any thoughts on his strangle proposal?

IMO odds are slim for SP to go significantly above 292 or below 235 soon. Looks like a good way to throw away money.

 

[doggusfluffy]

IMO odds are slim for SP to go significantly above 292 or below 235 soon. Looks like a good way to throw away money.

Well I don't need any help in that department... :wink:

 

[AlMc]

Thank you China:cursing:. Looks like Longboards $500 PT happened after Friday market close and will not be picked up by WS/investors. I am adding to my FB and TSLA calls today on what I hope is a temporary dip.

 

[Jonathan Hewitt]

Tesla: The profit in the desert - NASDAQ.com


Any thoughts on his strangle proposal?

Not worth the risk/reward IMO. Needs too big of a move to make good money.

 

[AlMc]

Not worth the risk/reward IMO. Needs too big of a move to make good money.

Agreed. I would not do it......but heck, I can lose money with the best of 'em!:wink:

 

[mitch672]

Houston's new Supercharger (you might have heard about it) is a Gallery complete with the demo skeleton Skateboard and Supercharger and a Design Center.

This Gallery is also a posh Delivery Center with double-wide garage doors, two opposing walls each boasting a working NEMA 14-50 and a HPWC (I trust they have rotated the 14-50s 180 degrees since I pointed out the ground plug oughta be on top). Five (five!) Delivery Specialist desks round it out.

This Delivery Center is also a Service Center with a smart auto-Tesla-sensing garage door opening to a driveway that'll line up half a dozen incoming Models S, with its own indoors 2-station Supercharger, and with 6 roto Lifts and room to expand to 14, wow 14 lifts but I might have heard 16.

This Service Center is also a six-stall public Supercharger with the US's second 24-hour customer lounge. You might have heard of it. "Hey Abbott" apparently hasn't heard of it.

this seems to be what Tesla is currently setting up. checkout the pictures I posted in the "Dedham, MA" SuperCharger thread. Service Center w/7 lifts, alignement lift, tire mounting & balancing equipment, 2 delivery bays w/garage doors setup with HPWC & 14-50's each, 8 stall SuperCharger, and we heard of an indoor 2-port SuperCharger as well. sounds like a carbon copy for new store design.

Dedham, MA: Supercharger - Dedham, MA - Page 14

 

[BoerumHill]

Not worth the risk/reward IMO. Needs too big of a move to make good money.

Solid strategy for losing $2500, though.

Your break-even points are $292.27 on the upside, and $235.12 on the downside.

 

[MartinAustin]

this seems to be what Tesla is currently setting up. checkout the pictures I posted in the "Dedham, MA" SuperCharger thread. Service Center w/7 lifts, alignement lift, tire mounting & balancing equipment, 2 delivery bays w/garage doors setup with HPWC & 14-50's each, 8 stall SuperCharger, and we heard of an indoor 2-port SuperCharger as well. sounds like a carbon copy for new store design.

Dedham, MA: Supercharger - Dedham, MA - Page 14

I wonder if this is the first visible result of the investment in Formula 1-style practices. (Elon has mentioned it a lot in the past)

TSLA looks like it is licking its wounds and recovering from the China hurt.

 

[Jonathan Hewitt]

Solid strategy for losing $2500, though.

Yeah, if I wanted a better chance of making money I would do the opposite and sell like a $250 put and sell a $300 call. IV collapses like crazy after the ER and there's a better chance of staying in that range than going outside them, IMO. Biggest negative in this case IMO is potential loss is unlimited.

 

[Irishjugg]

IMO odds are slim for SP to go significantly above 292 or below 235 soon. Looks like a good way to throw away money.

292+ would require a nice pop on earnings, but I think it's plausible. This seemed more likely before the last few days of FUD downtick though. 235 sounds unreasonable, and if it hits that low I'll certainly be a buyer.

 

[Hogfighter]

292+ would require a nice pop on earnings, but I think it's plausible. This seemed more likely before the last few days of FUD downtick though. 235 sounds unreasonable, and if it hits that low I'll certainly be a buyer.

We know what the lows are. After the f*res we saw as low as the 120's, when the future of the car was in doubt. Since March of 2014 we've seen lows in the 180's twice due to FUD. This was all before Tesla Energy. If the Model X rollout goes with only minor glitches I'd find it very surprising if we ever see below 200 again.

 

[aznt1217]

Popped on my news feed via the WSJ. Plenty of bears out there...

10:27 EDT - Which is worth more? An iconic Italian sports car company that mints money and has decades of history behind it? Or an electric-car making start up that is losing money, is dependent on government subsidies to fuel auto sales and is in a cash crunch. Turns out, Wall Street overwhelmingly prefers the latter

 

[jhm]

Why Elon Musk Should Merge Tesla Motors and SolarCity

Ok, I guess somebody had to raise the question of a merger of Tesla and SolarCity. I'm not persuaded. I also don't think this author understands either company well enough to advise Musk on the merits of such a combination. But the question is out there.

 

[Hogfighter]

Got knocked in the last few minutes. Any news out there?

 

[FredTMC]

Got knocked in the last few minutes. Any news out there?

Not that I've seen.

 

[hockeythug]

Got knocked in the last few minutes. Any news out there?

Maybe some stops were hit at $260.

 

[mdemetri]

Got knocked in the last few minutes. Any news out there?

Could be this: Youxia Ranger X - Chinese knockoff of the Tesla Model S

Being discussed in this thread: http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/showthread.php/50623-Youxia-Ranger-X-Chinese-knockoff-of-the-Tesla-Model-S

 

[FluxCap]

Only recent news I can find, might be this?

China Combines Knight Rider,Â*Tesla To Make Ultimate Model S Knockoff

Pretty sure that's a Tesla Model S with a random, amateurish bodykit stapled on, and some fancy photoshopping on the interior.

Also pretty sure this car/company doesn't really exist as "reported." So, if that explains the dip, I would expect a fast rebound.