How was spring 21 an ‘artificial’ deadline?
It is artificial because it was pulled out of thin air. There is no government mandate or industry standard for that deadline.
Almost a nothing burger? Is that like being almost pregnant?
No, it is like a milligram burger. That is almost a nothing burger.
Here’s my almost artificial prediction; they’re not making 6,000 vehicles before year end if the release date is 2nd half of this year. I base that on some almost artificial historic data from Tesla’s 2012 almost nothing burger of handing out the first Model S’s in June 2012 (or was it July?) and delivering 2,500ish? by year end only by very real herculean efforts. Rawlinson and company are made of softer stuffs than Elon and company.
Tesla began production in mid June 2012 and delivered ~2452
Tesla delivered ~22,300 Model S in 2013.
Here is my prediction: Lucid will beat both first year and second year Tesla deliveries.
Not because Lucid employees have bigger Johnsons but because Tesla had $400M for Model S program while Lucid will have ~$5B for Air program. And EV supply chains are deeper and wider today.