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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

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I've been surprised by the low cost of Calls and LEAPS as well. To me this means that fewer people think the stock will actually continue to rise after what has happened with the SP the last 8 months. Fewer buyers mean lower LEAP prices. Hopefully that will change after Q3 earnings on Wednesday.
Wouldn't it be the other way around?
 
Why? It makes no sense for Tesla to buy any automakers. Tesla might start to buy companies that add to their goals.

Lol, didn't Elon say that he bought Fortnite and deleted it?

Elon Musk on Twitter: "Had to been done ur welcome https://t.co/7jT0f9lqIS" / Twitter

Dp5lXiYUUAAngKq


And there's a lot fewer vowels to buy in VW. Just sayin'... :D

Cheers!
 
Lol, anybody else remember 38 months ago when VW had the chance to BUY Tesla for $40B and they said no?

Well, that's now the worst investment decision in history. VW missed out on 20x ROI on a $40B investment in just over 3 years.

Now, they're hiring Elon as a Management Consultant. Wonder who does their taxes?

Cheers!
Well, if Tesla was bought out by VW then, Tesla market cap would have been $20B now :) So, it would be a 50% loss. :cool:
 
@Todd Burch & @ByeByeJohnny informed me that Maurer changed his Q3 EPS down to $2.10 (from $2.16) as he now projects a Bitcoin impairment of $72m.
Anyhow, his $2.10 is still the highest that I have seen for those providing detailed forecasts.
Our always bullish @StarFoxisDown! prognosticates $2.12 to $2.20. His gut/back of the envelope number may be better than all the spreadsheets.

View attachment 722166

I have not projected an impairment as I believe the impairment calculation is not that straightforward.
For those interested in my impairment thoughts, you can look at this post here:
Your projection/estimate model has been the basis I’ve used for a while since I know you would do a much more in depth breakdown of all of the different things to consider.

Like you said I’m openly bullish on ASP and I think credits will surprise on the higher side which greatly pushes my EPS higher than everyone else. Basis of my higher ASP is that I think everyone is under estimating how much higher trims is being pushed/sold. The combination of US delivery times being skewed towards P and LR and what we saw over in Europe on trim levels registered has me confident.
 
He'll probably be back, eventually, angry and determined to show everyone how he was always right about TSLA. And then he'll step on that rake again.
He'll short $TSLA again after it reaches 4 digits.....with the headline "I mean it for real this time....they are doomed and cannot sustain their valuation."
 

TSLA All-time High Closing Price - Rank Order (as of Fri, Oct 15, 2021)​


Rank:
Date:
Close:
1​
01-26-21​
$883.09​
2​
01-25-21​
$880.80​
3​
01-08-21​
$880.02​
4​
02-02-21​
$872.79​
5​
01-27-21​
$864.16​
6​
02-08-21​
$863.42​
7​
02-03-21​
$854.69​
8​
01-13-21​
$854.41​
9​
02-05-21​
$852.23​
10​
01-20-21​
$850.45​
11​
02-04-21​
$849.99​
12​
02-09-21​
$849.46​
13​
01-12-21​
$849.44​
14​
01-22-21​
$846.64​
15​
01-14-21​
$845.00​
16​
01-21-21​
$844.99​
17​
01-19-21​
$844.55​
18​
10-15-21​
$843.03​

So that's:
  • 3 in the 880s
  • 1 in the 870s
  • 2 in the 860s
  • 4 in the 850s
  • 8 in the 840s
Cheers!
Nice! Looks like we could easily slip into the top 10 next week. Should probably wait until the Earnings Call before testing 880s.

I'd like to see a solid floor form around 870 so that we minimize the time spent revisiting prices below 840.

Personally, I've never had higher confidence in Tesla. Tesla is proving that it deserves to be valued as $1T cap enterprise. I think the market is slowly coming to see this. So I think there is potential for Tesla's share price to grow steadily to the $1000 level. I'm hopeful that we won't need any 10% or bigger pullbacks along the way.

Don't wait for the dip!

Cheers!
 
As other auto manufacturers' market caps disappear into irrelevance, I've substituted several with the most valuable companies in the world:

1634400351269.png


At TMC, surely we're interested in when (not if!) TSLA's market cap passes these other tech companies.

Currently (e.g. TSLA worth almost half of Amazon, and worth 12x Ford):

X compared to TSLATSLA compared to X
Apple186.9%-65.1%
Google126.1%-55.8%
Amazon106.9%-51.7%
Facebook9.7%-8.8%
Tesla0.0%0.0%
Toyota-70.6%240.7%
Royal Dutch Shell-81.2%433.0%
Volkswagen-83.0%489.9%
Daimler-87.6%704.4%
NIO-92.6%1250.7%
Ford-92.6%1254.8%

Can you hear the footsteps, Mark Zuckerberg?
 
As other auto manufacturers' market caps disappear into irrelevance, I've substituted several with the most valuable companies in the world:

View attachment 722263

At TMC, surely we're interested in when (not if!) TSLA's market cap passes these other tech companies.

Currently (e.g. TSLA worth almost half of Amazon, and worth 12x Ford):

X compared to TSLATSLA compared to X
Apple186.9%-65.1%
Google126.1%-55.8%
Amazon106.9%-51.7%
Facebook9.7%-8.8%
Tesla0.0%0.0%
Toyota-70.6%240.7%
Royal Dutch Shell-81.2%433.0%
Volkswagen-83.0%489.9%
Daimler-87.6%704.4%
NIO-92.6%1250.7%
Ford-92.6%1254.8%

Can you hear the footsteps, Mark Zuckerberg?
That’s very interesting. TSLA’s current market cap would have been the highest in the world in October 2017. That’s not that long ago.
 
As other auto manufacturers' market caps disappear into irrelevance, I've substituted several with the most valuable companies in the world:

View attachment 722263

At TMC, surely we're interested in when (not if!) TSLA's market cap passes these other tech companies.

Currently (e.g. TSLA worth almost half of Amazon, and worth 12x Ford):

X compared to TSLATSLA compared to X
Apple186.9%-65.1%
Google126.1%-55.8%
Amazon106.9%-51.7%
Facebook9.7%-8.8%
Tesla0.0%0.0%
Toyota-70.6%240.7%
Royal Dutch Shell-81.2%433.0%
Volkswagen-83.0%489.9%
Daimler-87.6%704.4%
NIO-92.6%1250.7%
Ford-92.6%1254.8%

Can you hear the footsteps, Mark Zuckerberg?

I'll pour out some scotch when Tesla puts the overgrown government-sanctioned malware/spyware company known as Facebook in it's rear-view mirror.
 
Both Model S LR and Plaid changed their delivery times from “mid 2022” to “end 2022” in Belgium (and probably rest of EU).
I noticed that because I saw somebody complaining about it how it causes end-of-lease issues with current Model S owners that want to get a new lease.
No demand probably.
I have absolutely no clue when my XPlaid will turn up, says nothing on the order in my account... very much a first-world problem though as I bought my existing XP100DL in September at the end of the lease

At least we ave my wife's M3P to look forward to in December - I have to admit that I'm planning to drive that more than her :)
 
Interesting that in attendance at VW Group's upper management meeting today, discussing ways to evolve the company for the future, was one... Elon Musk.

Sounds like a good healthy competition. Helping each other out.
 
Option premiums are paying for our new house. I will admit that I did sell out of $TSLA recently and purchased 40x Jan 24 c600's, so I actually have more exposure to the stock than before, plus a shed-load of cash for trading put spreads
So what’s the next goal, a Belgian craft brewery?
 
Interesting that in attendance at VW Group's upper management meeting today, discussing ways to evolve the company for the future, was one... Elon Musk.


That's....actually pretty good on VW's end. At least they are talking to the leader of the EV revolution and admitting they have an issue, it's more than I can say for most of the American auto market.