It's important to recognize that Elon wrote the "
Semi Memo" on the evening of the day the agreement was signed with Panasonic.
This imples that the source of cells for Tesla Semi will be Panasonic @ GF1/Sparks. This agreement locks in pricing and volume by contract for the next 2 years. More importantly, a
PURCHASE agreement is now in place, and Tesla is
COMMITTED to buying these cells. Tesla
MUST build Semi!
My conclusion?
"Cells Secured."
As a follow-on inference, this contract further supports the notion that 'Bty Day' will include the announcement of Giga Texas and Cybertruck production. Neither 'Plaid' nor Roadster production is planned in enough volume to require a new 'T
erafactory' for its bty supply (Tesla
may be able to make enough cells for 'Plaid' + Roadster on the pilot line in Fremont).
Further, sourcing Semi cells from GF1 implies that Tesla is indeed setting itself up to build Cybertruck in huge numbers (Elon always thinks in 'Orders of Magnitude').
If the factory is modular, I expect functional units to provide increments of 250K/yr capacity (5K/wk), with a continuous, but exponential, build out of those modules. IE:
- 2021 1st 250K module enters full production
- 2022 +2 more modules 500K added, 750K total CT capacity
- 2023 up to +4 more modules 1.5M added as req'd
- @2.25M/yr capacity, CT supply matches existing N.Am. full-size truck sales
Cheers!
EDIT: 883.20 EUR in Frankfurt @ 10:00 CET (just before NASDAQ opens ~$995.57 USD)
EDIT2: NASDAQ
Pre-Market High in NYC:
$992.00 +9.87 (04:29:37 AM)