This is why I'm very bearish on FSD. Elon keeps talking about a "global maximum" on what I assume to be some kind of probability density function.
Even if they do get there, there is no guarantee that the maximum be able to drive at an acceptable level for regular consumers and regulators.
Answering this particular point, as well as all others you mentioned earlier: this seems very difficult unless you have already some minimal understanding of the technical advances made so far. Personally I have not ever succeeded in convincing anyone yet, even among friends who had excellent general physics/ engineering or/ and financial knowledge. Convincing them of the huge advances Tesla has accomplished and is continuing to accomplish. And the huge gaps in Wall Street valuations and public awareness.
This is not too surprising, since I myself would not have been convinced at all either way back in 2018 before I bought a car*, after a 20 year hiatus. Prior to that I didn't even see the difference between hybrids and pure EV's. Having bought a car, I got interested in all things car wise again, and figured out the Tesla story after a year of on /off research.
On the point of FSD, and "global maximum" - this is getting into fine points (why are there local maxima, what are they, what is level 5 autonomy etc) which I believe will get resolved aka not needing understanding -like grammar for speaking- as FSD improves/ evolves and becomes better known. What does tilt the credibility balance for me all in favor of Tesla/ Elon Musk is my understanding of the AI tech that has been explained and demonstrated so far. This is equivalent to when the first AI/ NN critical turning point happened as Google's voice transcription became near perfect ,and automatic translation acceptable.
So, I do once in a while try and convince a select few friends, mostly as a matter of (anthropological?) curiosity; but I don't expect being able to convince anyone anymore.
How would one go about learning enough to be at a sufficient level of understanding? Since we all have different backgrounds and no one can be expected to know ea area in detail, this is left TBD (to be done /determined), and would include some of the information in the previous responses.
(*) That car is a Mercedes
CLK350, hence my TCM name - figuring out the Tesla story paid for her many times over ; )
[OT philosophy 102]
I am amazed at how we as a human race have been able to survive, considering we really are like an agglomeration of tribes, and maybe we are on the verge of extinction thanks to the 1% tribe of our de facto leaders/ deciders.
Amusing thought (or not, LITSOD "
Laughter is the smile of despair"), new tech (social engineering, centralized information dissemination/ censoring, the extreme being China, not as subtle as the US) has amplified that tribal effect. By tribal effect I mean how
what we believe is mostly what is the norm for the tribe we belong to, so that
"first principle thinkers" like Elon Musk are very rare. In the same way as
0.5% of males are descendants of Genghis Khan, now maybe 50% of humans have the mRNA encoded in their genes - LITSOD .
