Who's to say rates even need to come down? Or at least need to come down significantly.The market is currently pricing that the FOMC will start cutting rates in June 2024, but the chart below shows that the market is almost always wrong about what the Fed will do beyond the next FOMC meeting. Looking at the chart, it is remarkable how mean reverting the error is. When rates are low, the market is systematically pricing that the Fed will soon hike. When rates are high, the market is systematically pricing that the next move from the Fed is to cut. Maybe the Fed will cut rates next summer. Maybe not. For now, investors should be planning on rates staying higher for longer.
For Tesla, I think that eventually (like mid next year at the latest), people will get used to the new rates and life will go on as usual.
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Rates were on their way up and in the mid-2%s before COVID hit. Back before the financial crisis, rates were gradually ratcheted up to 5.25% before something broke -- but I think those risks in real estate don't really exist anymore, certainly not to the same extent in terms of shoddy lending practices etc.
What was unusual was the periods of exceptionally low or basically 0% rates and free money, those days might very well be over for the foreseeable future. Rates aren't high by historical standards, almost 20% Fed Funds rates in the '80s were high -- 5% Fed Funds rate is about average.