shokunin
Active Member
I think the 1200 number is not a cancellation rate over the past few years. I'm sure there are way more than 1200 cancellations out of 13,000+ reservations they have taken. They simply subtract the few that do each quarter with the new reservations each quarter, stating the "net new" reservations.
The 1200 to me sounds like the cancellation rate once reservation holders were notified to finalize their vehicles. It's hard to get $5k from people, it's even harder to get $75K from people when many haven't even seen or driven the cars for longer than 8 minutes, plus timing would have to coincide perfectly to those that want / need a car in 3 months.
I wouldn't be surprised if there are less than 2500 confirmed orders for Production #5000 and below. I would hope that the conversion rate for those higher than 5000 would be much better just due to recency of their deposits.
The 1200 to me sounds like the cancellation rate once reservation holders were notified to finalize their vehicles. It's hard to get $5k from people, it's even harder to get $75K from people when many haven't even seen or driven the cars for longer than 8 minutes, plus timing would have to coincide perfectly to those that want / need a car in 3 months.
I wouldn't be surprised if there are less than 2500 confirmed orders for Production #5000 and below. I would hope that the conversion rate for those higher than 5000 would be much better just due to recency of their deposits.