What I talked about was a good chance of Tesla getting to 400K deliveries by the end of June 2019, a milestone you expressed a desire to see. That's 18 months, which comes to 22K per month, or about 5K per week on average over the next 18 months. Reasonably good chance, but, not a certainty, they hit that aspiration you set.
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Where is the production ramp?
- Thread starter Garlan Garner
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What I talked about was a good chance of Tesla getting to 400K deliveries by the end of June 2019, a milestone you expressed a desire to see. That's 18 months, which comes to 22K per month, or about 5K per week on average over the next 18 months. Reasonably good chance, but, not a certainty, they hit that aspiration you set.
Indeed. that is reasonable.
I'm still going to keep my fingers crossed for all 400K to have a picture of their Model 3 under the Christmas tree next year. That may not be reasonable as your numbers, but that's my hope.
hope, cross your fingers, etc., as you like... it would be nice if somehow that stuff works, but, you and I both have already stated upthread we think that "appears impossible" at this point, to use your exact terms.
I understand your point and sentiment, but looks can be deceiving...
(Assuming that was the 3 employee delivery event)
Me thinks someone is just looking for some attention again.
@Garlan Garner
So I think something just clicked in my brain.
Does your thread title mean "where in the ramp are we?"? meaning: how is the ramp going? what is the current rate?
As opposed to "where is this ramp that was supposed to happen?" Meaning I'm not seeing any signs Tesla is making more 3's than before/ they still aren't out of production he'll.
So I think something just clicked in my brain.
Does your thread title mean "where in the ramp are we?"? meaning: how is the ramp going? what is the current rate?
As opposed to "where is this ramp that was supposed to happen?" Meaning I'm not seeing any signs Tesla is making more 3's than before/ they still aren't out of production he'll.
N5329K
Active Member
Whether Tesla's still in production hell or not partly depends on whether the hundreds of cars in the Fremont lot are there waiting to be delivered, or there waiting to be fixed.
Anyone know?
Robin
Anyone know?
Robin
We got one delivered 24 hours after getting our order email. It’s a Christmas miracle. I’m hoping all the parked ones are ready to sell.
Anyone who “knows” certainly won’t be posting about it here. There no evidence that there is a problem with them, and a small amount of evidence that some are being delivered. My vote goes towards difficulties scheduling deliveries around the holidays.
Exactly.
Received an email from my 725 area code contact at 12:30 am early Christmas morning asking me to upload insurance docs. Robots might not be ramping or they might be, but they are trying to clear those lots of cars.
ElecFan
Member
And that is exactly what Elon said at the Q3 Earnings Call: "although the vendor has failed to meet their obligations, we are responsible".
A more mature approach then many of his critics who childishly keep playing the blaming game.
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bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
In a very short period of time, my twitter feed filled with people about to take delivery of their Model 3. And that 'people' includes one of my sisters. She's taking delivery tomorrow afternoon and is over-the-moon excited. We're taking a short road trip to make sure she comfortably makes the transition to EVs (of which I have no doubt, but it's a great excuse to give me time to fully check out a Model 3 
).
imo, we're on the ramp. It's started.
).imo, we're on the ramp. It's started.
Which likely have led to further confusion in the responses.
Based on Q3 call/ report and supplier news, I put the ramp at definitely between 1k and 5k a week. Personally leaning toward the 2.5k part of the range.
We can probably be forgiven our confusion given the OPs post history and past tone.
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
That was me - I wouldn't call it 'inside influence', but rather just knowing the right people & knowing that Tesla has a heart.
As I've stated in another post, I think the ramp is starting in earnest ... but that is purely based on the number of tweets I'm seeing from people excited about their scheduled deliveries. I'll be at the Fremont Delivery Center tomorrow, as my sister takes delivery, so I expect I'll have better knowledge (based on how busy they are). But I have zero inside information. And if I did, I wouldn't be posting even this.
Congratulations! I'm sure your sister will be very pleased I'm sure impressed with the 3 Santa left as a surprise for the wife in our driveway.
