I just looked at my TeslaFi records and it looks confirmed that we have an actual kWh bump on the car from 73 to 77kWh!!
I took my daily charge records and divided the "kWh added" value by how many percent was gained. Previous to the 2019.5.15 update the math consistently comes out to ~73kWh for 100% and now after the update it's ~77kWh. The difference is consistent and too large to be a fluke. I was only getting +/-.5 kWh based on the rounding error of using whole percents when doing the math.
Based on this, I think I can confirm that we gained about 3.5kWh of usable capacity which is right in line with +15 miles of rated range.
I will still plan on doing my road test to see what the car shows on the trip.
Please see this post:
Model 3 LR usable battery capacity? for a test that I ran in August of 2018. My math then came out to 73kWh usable which exactly matches my TeslaFi math from before the update.