First, thanks for all the feedback. I was getting 241 originally for about two days and then the creep down began...240, 238, 236, 235, etc. Brought the car home on September 29th. We are at November 11th and down to 233 or 8 miles of rated range loss. Losing just under 2 miles a week. I have charged to 95% maybe three weeks ago. Has not impacted the decline. Went right back to the decline of 1-2 miles per week.
So at new the car did show 241 at 90% which is exactly what I expected - 241 (253*1.06=268 *.9=241). That's 253 for P85D plus the 6% minus the 10% for the 90% state of charge. That is exactly what the car was delivered with before the decline started. I understand your point completely about 3% for the 21s so that would take me to 234 exactly. So in theory, if the car stops declining here than that is just the algorithm figuring out that I have 21s on the car. I would be surprised if it actually works that way but would be pretty cool if it does and if the decline actually stops at 233.
Second, it is pretty disappointing that I had two people from the Tesla service team tell me that temperature impacts rate range when you guys are saying that is just wrong. I was aware that weather impacts estimated range in the app based on Wh usage/mile.
i will update if the decline continues from here. Again, thanks for all the insight. I will be sure to call my service rep back and explain to them that rated range is not adjusted for weather.