Well, now the referral credit is $250 for all vehicles from Tesla.
They just dropped the Model Y LR another $2000 this morning. I'm not sure if it is due to production outpacing supply, but it was still a drop.
Given that EDD of Model X is still only a month or two away, I think more incentives will happen in 2024. Usually Tesla will raise the price if the order backlog was too high. They did that with the Model Y this past year after the price drop in January. Once the initial excitement of the price is over, Tesla will drop them again.
Model X does not cost $32k over the Model Y for Tesla in parts. Bigger body, air suspension, better motors, slightly larger screen, few more speakers, and FWD isn't worth that much.
Also, if Tesla does offset that tax credit in case it does drop to $3750, that would mean that the Model X LR 7 seater config will be eligible for tax credit as well (which I would gladly accept over my current order.) Decisions, decisions.