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Delivery Delay - 2014 Model S

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It looks like they are probably going to focus on overseas delivery for the first two months of Q4 and then do a mad dash in December to deliver domestic orders just like they are doing right now at the end of Q3. It would be nice however for them to give an honest estimated delivery date if they are going to only deliver cars in the US in the last month of each quarter.
 
I confirmed my order last night and the dashboard now shows December. If I push it to January will it be a 2015 model officially? Sorry if this is a dumb question.

I'd say that the "official" model year for your car is whatever is encoded in the VIN. So if your VIN has an E for the 10th digit it's a 2014 and is a 2015 if you have an F. Given that Tesla is assigning VINs far before production it just reinforces the view on this forum that the model year is entirely pointless to consider on a Tesla. I wouldn't be surprised if quite a few E's are produced after some F's and if Tesla makes changes those E's might have improvements the F's won't.
 
My guess is that these are different delays (or maybe different consequences of same delay). Why else would people in September be pushed back 1-2 weeks, and people in November get pushed back 4 weeks?

I suspect the September delays were due to slow ramp-up after factory re-tooling, whereas later delays are due to a decision to front-load international builds so they can deliver before quarter end.

Tesla will do all they can to get as many orders done before end-of-year, so I don't think those of you seeing delays have to worry about missing 2014. They're pushing you to December as a worst case scenario and then will do their best to make you happy when they can move the dates earlier again. ( ::::knock on wood::: )

Just do NOT plan any significant events relying on exact dates for car delivery until you know it's actually heading on a car carrier to your local service center. (e.g. major vacations beginning immediately after delivery) Too many variables and I've seen several people posting "I planned X for my delivery date and now it has changed and I'm unhappy."
 
In edition, would you add that we just don't know the run-rate of the new production line or if there are any glitches with OEM suppliers and their products arriving on-time (Panasonic batteries and all that). If the new line is up but running 50-100 per week slower than they thought - there is a chance it could whack the numbers a bit. What I wonder though is can we add up all the Vin #s given out during the last few months and figure out how many EU and Asia vin numbers are preparing to be built in October and how many more US orders can be taken before they slip to January deliveries? Seems pretty drastic to have this big shift of nearly a month almost overnight.
 
My DS was able to get back to me last night. This is what he had to say.

Hi Frank!

Thanks for reaching out. The delivery estimates do change often, so I wouldn’t consider that a solid timeframe. This is due to the fact that production rates in our factory are not constant, and vary from week to week based on many factors. In October when we have a more solid time frame, I will reach out again to schedule a delivery date.

All the best,

Nick G | Delivery Experience Specialist
Tesla Factory | 45500 Fremont Blvd | Fremont, CA 94538

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Car arrived in South FL this afternoon! Hopefully pick up tomorrow: 09/11/14
Ordered: 5/10/14 # 48590 Original delivery date: 08/29/14 Therefore 4 month wait.
I thank everyone who has contributed to this thread and look forward to hearing about your deliveries!!
S85, Pearl white, 19", Gray leather, Obeche matte, Tech, Air, Sensors
 
If they change so often that the DS doesn't consider them reliable, then why do they even update the website? Just put "TBD" and wait until they have something for sure.

I need to stop checking the web site every day. My DS scheduled me for Nov 1 and I haven't heard from him since (even after emailing him yesterday about the date change to December). So I'll just pretend I haven't checked the web site and still assume it's around my scheduled timeframe. :crying:
 
VIN 50816. Original date of 9-12 has been pushed to 9-26. Not totally sure how firm that is. Worked well for me actually, though it's killing me. I live near the factory, so no shipping lead time. Getting the P85+, so I am supposedly a priority delivery, but I placed the order 6-26. Gone are the days of the 30 day turnaround for fancy models! But, as a stockholder, I'm THRILLED that they are so busy. That stock is paying for the beauty!
 
Car arrived in South FL this afternoon! Hopefully pick up tomorrow: 09/11/14
Ordered: 5/10/14 # 48590 Original delivery date: 08/29/14 Therefore 4 month wait.
I thank everyone who has contributed to this thread and look forward to hearing about your deliveries!!
S85, Pearl white, 19", Gray leather, Obeche matte, Tech, Air, Sensors

Would love to see pics of your new car, as your specs are right in line with what I'm thinking.