Andrew,
I really appreciate your helpful message.
But I always return to "if the humans can do it, so can the computer" conclusion. I don't care what we have that the computers aren't programmed with: we can figure out what we have and program the computers with it, or something at least as good. For instance, there's lots of tools:
- 3D via converting time dimension into spatial dimension (depth)
- 3D via multiple inputs (even across input types: radar + camera)
- memory (big data (maps, detailed, as well as prior drives)) of where the road is, so that a stationary object in it is known to probably be in it (these are probabilities)
- Using more cues from all sensor input (+ memory, but humans do this also without memory pretty well although memory helps them) where the road goes. I think perhaps Tesla hasn't fully programmed in the concept of where the roads go into the analysis of the car. I think they are still growing their AI capability, and eventually, the AI will figure this out for itself, but for now, Tesla is stuck trying to cough up some old fashioned MobileEye thinking that tries to pre-determine all the possible outcomes in hand-drawn code (which of course is a rote memory type approach that never works in real life).
- Brake lights on the stationary object (bright red!)
- Heat emanating from the stationary objects, indicating they are active yet not going, if infra-red cameras are added (this would help with animal detection)
- If backscatter x-ray detectors are added, then skeletal features could help with next point. (Helpful with animal detection, such as deer in forests, like I deal with every day.)
- Use all sensor input to determine if someone is in the object (especially a vehicle). If a person is in a car, probably they're doing something. Could be head, even arm.
I have to go to work, but I thought of at least 6 things that humans do that computers could do even better that could distinguish a stationary object, plus another 2 that with added hardware could do even better. Where there's a will there's a way.
So, you did a good job of describing the current challenges, which is good, but it doesn't fit the customers' understanding that Tesla
could solve these, and most likely
will, so why haven't they
already is the wonderment.