If that prediction comes true and they say “upgrade to an AP3.5 (or AP4) car to get FSD,” Tesla will be in a poop-storm of hell, not only from existing owners who purchase FSD with AP2/2.5, but also from those who purchased their cars to begin with because of the PROMISE that they could eventually upgrade to FSD without buying an entirely new car. I’m never a fan of class actions as the lawyers are typically the only ones who win, but in this case, such a suit would be a slam dunk because they made fraudulent comments.
That said, I doubt it will happen this way. What I predict is that AP2/2.5 cars will ultimately have “FSD-light” where a driver is still needed in the driver’s seat, ready to take over in 1-5% of situations, such as roundabouts, in construction zones, places where there’s a road closure or a nonfunctional street light (and you have to interpret hand signals from a cop in the middle of the intersection), school drop offs, etc etc. They can still call it FSD and technically fulfill their legal obligations. Then AP3, 3.5, 4, or 4.5 or whatever, with more sensors and faster processors will be able to handle true FSD.
What I wonder now is what will happen to owners who leased their cars with AP2 in 2016, purchased FSD, and had to return the leased car BEFORE any FSD features had become available. Due for a refund, I would gather?