My situation seems to be fairly close to the OP's, figured maybe some one can chime in and discuss my bearish trend in range rating... Currently at 2.77% degredation after about a month of use. Purchased car June 29th, car sat till about August 12th when I came back from a vacation.
I daily drive 176 miles a day and use anywhere between 75% to 80% battery which comes out to around 56.25 to 60kW per day. I have a HPWC and when I get home, I'll immediately connect, TeslaFi charges to 80% and then is scheduled to finish off to 95% about 30 mins before I leave for work. With this charge schedule, I'm able to arrive home over 10%, however I have to disable sentry at work. I never use the cabin temp control in fear of not making it home without having to swing by a SC.
Two weeks ago, I tried topping off to around 97% which got me home with around 19-21% and Sentry enabled for the whole work shift, which was nice.
In the beginning I was doing 90% charges, but would uncomfortably get home with around 6-8%, oddly there was no degredation. I figured maybe it needs to be charged to 100% after I get home... But to no avail, it's just slowly decreasing. The drop started to occur shortly after doing 95% charges.
I guess it's also worth noting that my drive to work is around 95-110*F and my drive home is around 67-75*F in the summer (currently). At this rate, I'ma probably have to switch cars with the wife and drive the Camry Hybrid in the winter where the drive to work will be around 45-60*F and the drive home will be 28-45*F.