paulkva
part of the supercharge.info dev team
Further perspective: the Teslike spreadsheet tracks just over 1,200 orders with the bulk of the order dates spanning nearly a year (June 2021 thru May 2022), and of those only ~300 have a delivery date. Globally, Tesla delivered more than 300,000 vehicles in Q1 of 2022 alone. Even if we presume they're "only" delivering 125K MY (their most popular model) per quarter, it means the data we have is likely less than 0.1% of actual deliveries.Frankly, even filtering the Teslike spreadsheet to a single configuration yields a lot of noise...
As I said in a previous post, without any official or inside info, we might as well be reading tea leaves.
125K x 4 = 500K
300 / 500K = 0.0006 = 0.06%
I know my math is a bit hand-wavey (e.g. the press doesn't break down deliveries of M3 vs MY, presuming constant production rather than ramp-up over time or pauses for supply issues, etc), but I still think the rough numbers still provide a bit more perspective.
Having said that -- really hoping we get a VIN (and a car!) soon...