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But I have to admit, this time, today Yes, even against the S&P and Nasdaq Falling TSLA rises on a miss, where sustaining a 1.8 mn guideline is really no fundamental news (although I doubted it for this year just a few hours ago).Well all the times Tesla beat and SP dumped, hw about the converse for once...?![]()
Compared to Q1 ER (180-190 going into it):
Delivery dropped
ASP dropped
CT delivery late again
What's there for a run-up?
Compared to Q1 ER (180-190 going into it):
Delivery dropped
ASP dropped
CT delivery late again
What's there for a run-up?
Compared to Q1 ER (180-190 going into it):
Delivery dropped
ASP dropped
CT delivery late again
What's there for a run-up?
There cant be a Fed pivot until Nov FOMC. CPI trends lately have been up, not down. We're up a creek without paddles for another month.I can think of two reasons:
What if is there is a sudden fed pivot?
I want to see if we can clear 255. TSLA in general looks pretty strong, maybe the big boys are anticipating CT launch here in the next couple of weeks and that could be the sell the news event?
What do you think the Jonas upgrade and the spike to 279 was for if not liquidity? They got out, all of them. Are they going to get back in the mud to play for chump changes? Maybe. Maybe not.Perhaps crowed FOMO and MM letting to grab liquidity?
From what I have gathered Fed pivots precipitate market drops more often than not. The idea is that a pivot means the economy is weakening and the market likes to front run.I can think of two reasons:
What if is there is a sudden fed pivot?
I want to see if we can clear 255. TSLA in general looks pretty strong, maybe the big boys are anticipating CT launch here in the next couple of weeks and that could be the sell the news event?
Dead cat bounce. Even if Tesla hit 1.8m there going be more price cut to fuel demand.
Q3 and Q4 earning will not look too hot.
That’s a logical question, but as far as back I can remember, most stocks, and especially TSLA almost always rise in to ER - I don’t know if this is a function of shorts choosing to wait till the ER is out to short or what all other factors play in to this. Just a general observation.Compared to Q1 ER (180-190 going into it):
Delivery dropped
ASP dropped
CT delivery late again
What's there for a run-up?
This is false. A lot of stocks drop all the way going into ER. See NKE and FDX for fresh examples.That’s a logical question, but as far as back I can remember, most stocks, and especially TSLA almost always rise in to ER - I don’t know if this is a function of shorts choosing to wait till the ER is out to short or what all other factors play in to this. Just a general observation.
Exactly. The low is usually after the fed pivots.From what I have gathered Fed pivots precipitate market drops more often than not. The idea is that a pivot means the economy is weakening and the market likes to front run.
I should have been more specific- I was mostly speaking from my experience with Tesla and other mega cap tech stocks - Since 2018, I have played an earnings run up trade (buy the stock about 2 weeks or less before ER date and sell just before ER), and it almost always worked.This is false. A lot of stocks drop all the way going into ER. See NKE and FDX for fresh examples.
TSLA can rise into ER once there's no more meat on the bone for shorts. Is this it? Or is it going to be 220 before the rise?
EPS for the year unchanged as annual guidance unchanged?Dead cat bounce. Even if Tesla hit 1.8m there going be more price cut to fuel demand.
Q3 and Q4 earning will not look too hot.
Compared to Q1 ER (180-190 going into it):
Delivery dropped
ASP dropped
CT delivery late again
What's there for a run-up?
EPS for the year unchanged as annual guidance unchanged?