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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
Apropos of the NVDA vs TSLA discussion
@phantasms you find this "Funny" today, but how will you feel in 2 years time if it turns out to be accurate?
⚡️ELECTROMAN⚡️
Village Idiot
He said don’t buy the stock if you don’t like volatility. I didn’t know he meant he would be the creator of most of it.
I think some forget how hated Nvidia was as a stock literally days before the ChatGP moment. It rallied 50% in the matter of 2 months before any of the growth it's been experiencing hit the actual earnings.
IMHO the market, and TSLA, is still in a bubble. I sold most of my TSLA for far more than it's worth now. If it ends up going to $1000+ a share I'll be surprised but also happy as I'll likely always hold some of this rollercoaster. I certainly wont be sad over any potential missed gains. Having 100x the money I do now wouldn't change my life at all.
⚡️ELECTROMAN⚡️
Village Idiot
Nice subtle brag
It is all odd for sure. Sold about 35% of my TSLA stake today. I feel like the support levels won't really create resistance until ~150. Maybe it is just emotional thinking, but if the institutional holders aren't in support of the Board it seems like there is a challenge finding buyers.
On the plus side, production looks to be ramping up again after a lackluster few weeks in Austin. Nothing that will move needles on earnings in Q2, but more of a return-to-normal.
BTO 2 x call spread NVDA +c1250/-c1300 6/14 for $7.60 on the possibility (see TSLA’s history) that we will keep going up for 1 or 2 more weeks because of the stock split. Just a dabble, not putting too much on the line.
This is what I'm keeping my eye on. The first significant business case for the use of all these models that people are buyign Nvidia's chips that isn't an advertising business case. Definitely not saying that ads aren't a valuable business model - obviously they are. But that's also a business model and larger activity that's been going on for decades - matching up people with ads about stuff that the advertisers think will be a fit. Whether its over the air tv, direct mail, or more recently ads on web pages / email / etc..
The biggest meaningful business case that I see on the horizon is something we already see - driver assist /self-driving cars (and trucks, ag equipment, etc..). My guess is that these meaningful business cases will be awfully good for the companies that come up with them, for obvious reasons. They will also be really good for Nvidia as it cements their business case beyond selling infrastructure that people want, and turns them into a company selling infrastructure that people want because they can use that infrastructure to make boatloads of money.
For my own part I just don't have the energy to go learn another company so I'm staying out.
My mom taught me feelings aren't facts
willow_hiller
Well-Known Member
Someone recently dug up a chart I made in the "What other tech stock to consider?" thread in March 2022. I was looking for tech stocks with low correlations with TSLA for the purpose of diversifying my portfolio, and I had found that at that point in Nvidia had the highest beta with TSLA.
The chart runs mid-September 2021 to late March 2022, with both TSLA and NVDA rebased to 1 at the beginning of the time series:
Funny how things have changed since then, and it does make me wonder if we'll see this kind of correlation again.
today is the 4th consecutive day NVDA is above the upper BB
based on history, max 8 consecutive days
/shutterstock_1742705531.jpg)
www.barchart.com
based on history, max 8 consecutive days
Unusual Call Options Activity in Long-Dated Nvidia Call Options Shows Investor Enthusiasm
Today a large and unusual volume of Nvidia call options traded for a four-month out expiration period. This shows the incredible investor bullish sentiment in NVDA stock, given the high price of the calls.
www.barchart.com
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Not him, but personally I would be very happy. Investing in TSLA is never more than a click away if the situation warrants.
On my drive up I-5 yesterday, I was commenting to my wife how NVDA feels so similar to TSLA in 2019-2020. Couldn't resist looking at this the other way around. Exciting times.
They are 2 different companies with different life cycles. Just because they were highly correlated during a specific window of time doesn't mean they will again. TSLA the stock will only do as well as Tesla the company.
That being said, many seem to think TSLA is a dog atm. Dead stock?
Don't lose sight of the big picture. Still in a very bullish consolidation. Gotta say, this doesn't look like the right time to be bearish.
That being said, many seem to think TSLA is a dog atm. Dead stock?
Don't lose sight of the big picture. Still in a very bullish consolidation. Gotta say, this doesn't look like the right time to be bearish.
I just need it to last THROUGH monday 6/3 please.today is the 4th consecutive day NVDA is above the upper BB
based on history, max 8 consecutive days
View attachment 1051675
View attachment 1051676
Unusual Call Options Activity in Long-Dated Nvidia Call Options Shows Investor Enthusiasm
Today a large and unusual volume of Nvidia call options traded for a four-month out expiration period. This shows the incredible investor bullish sentiment in NVDA stock, given the high price of the calls.
Im going to call bunk on this one.. I made my first 100% on NVDA in six months during 2020, and within another 12 months a 2nd 100%.. (200% overall not a double double) so there was quite a bit of interest and movement in the stock, mostly for other reasons, gaming, bitcoin mining, autonomous driving and vehicle use before the overwhelming majority of retail or institutional buyers had heard of OpenAI or Ai for that matter.
But yes, it’s up nearly 3 fold since then, and doesn’t look like its going to stop anytime soon.
Unless I guess you mean it was “hated” just prior to the OpenAI announcement in ~ Oct 2022, because it was down 50%, but you know what else was down 50%, pretty much EVERYTHING.
META, TSLA, AMZN, GOOGL, CRM, OKTA, PYPL, I’m running out of keys. ;-)
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