Nice.
I’m thinking like this as an example which applies in your situation….
Might be worth an “insurance” cheap overnight charge. Maybe ‘50%’ ? Or whatever you might lose in generation or need to get to the next days sun up/ cheap window again.
20kW overnight “insurance” buffer charge will cost £1.5 on IO.
If it’s cloudy/thundery you’ve covered yourself at 7.5p/ kW. If not it’s stored in the battery “bank” for later.
If you generate over what you need, and battery ‘overflows’ you can dump it all in the car or export it at 4p. So even if you have to dump all of the excess to export; those 7.5p/kW you end up exporting will only cost you 3.5p/kW as an insurance policy.
So a 20kW “insurance” cheap overnight charge would (worst case) cost you 70p for the day. Less if you export less. Or nothing if you dump it in the car.
However if you have to buy all those 20kW at 42p then it’s an £8.40 cost.
The cost benefit of having a bit extra in reserve (even if you have to export it ALL) is massively skewed to having a bit extra and having to dump it in the car or export it back rather than having to buy at 42p.
If you get it wrong by importing too much, say 8 times a month it’s negligible (or max of £5.60), if you get it wrong and are short that’s £67 !
I think this will come into play a lot more in the shoulder months. Thoughts?
In other news… hopefully my install is happening within the next couple of weeks.
Yay