The point I was trying to make is I don’t class the old tech as completely flawed tech. Not all old tech batteries have been capped. Only a very few. So the majority of old tech batteries continue to operate as designed (for the moment). But I do agree, of the batteries affected, they all contain the old tech cells. I also agree getting a refurbished old tech pack is no guarantee. But if the % of old tech cars affected is a small %, 10%? 15%? (I don’t know the figure so I am just wet finger in the air speculating here) but if they are in that ball park range, then surely that suggests that a refurbished pack has a 85%-90% chance of being just fine.
Whether Tesla even has a supply of old tech batteries is a different issue. I don’t have the answer. I doubt for instance they have a supply of the pre Silicon cells, although the newer silicon cells also had their own problems and when I questioned a Ranger about them his impression was they were not as good as the old Gen 1 cells. Also if Tesla now only have 100 kWh batteries, that is not a solution for us, as they are not a straight swap item. So I agree they may have to build from new. Perhaps that is why they are wriggling so hard?
FYI- I was not capped until 2019.36 and even more so with 2019.40 so every old pack may no be effected but it seems Tesla is taking the nuclear option and is slowly nerfing all old packs.