Here's the math simple as can be that they are still above the 50% CAGR even if you assume 0 deliveries in Q4 2023.
"Since 2020, Tesla has achieved >50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries (see chart). In fact, they're ahead of that pace in 2023, with a full quarter left to go!"
the actual guidance
$TSLA provided at the end of 2020:
“Over a multi-year horizon, we expect to achieve 50% average annual growth in vehicle deliveries. The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, factory uptime, operational efficiency and the capacity and stability of the supply chain.”
Note: the y-axis on this chart is logarithmic, so exponential growth (compounding at 50% per year) appears as a straight line.
View attachment 983693