Musk's apparently awe inspiring intellect seems to run counter to how he's managing Twitter, to be honest. There's some pretty contemporary evidence for you, playing out in real time.
You can "move fast and break things" without alienating the very revenue stream you are utterly dependant on, whilst validating right wing pundits hypotheses and conspiracy theories with "makes u think" level responses. I'm finding it very hard to imagine how he's going to service the massive debt burden Twitter now has, on the course he's currently on. He has to find $1b+ of revenue a year just to break even.
I haven't checked directly but some tweets saying twitter traffic & Monetizable Daily Users (whatever metric twitter uses) are higher.
Staff costs (including share dilution) will be down soon, before twitter starts to hire again. Infrastructure costs will probably fall due to greater efficiency - this will improve over time.
Checkmarks are a new revenue stream, so less dependence on advertising which was falling anyway due to recession.
Truth Social's owner has been allowed back on twitter, so that divisive person has a choice
1) Reach - Truth Social has very few users - so twitter is much better for engagement
2) Money - Truth Social will probably fail (I think it's pretty close anyway)
Where Truth Social's owner goes, many (well, some) will follow, so Elon's stated aim of ensuring that Twitter is the most important forum for the majority of people looks promising. Those with very different views (opposite of Truth Social) may switch to Mastodon (1-1.6 million users) rather than Twitter (250-450 million active users according to reports). However, I think most people are waiting to see what happens and the network effects of a larger network will draw people back in.
I don't know the financials of Twitter, it will take a while to settle down anyway. Searching for reports on Twitter's debt/interest only show me those from the usual untrustworthy suspects.
The stated figure of "$1B a year revenue" seems tiny. 2021 was way higher - something like $5B from first search result I found. Did you mean profit?
In any case, it seems that Elon's plan/approach is working. He's just tackling the worst bits now.
He's also cleaned up some vile twitter usage as well (
https://twitter.com/elizableu). Something I think any right-thinking person would applaud.