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Agree 100 percent. I am firmly in the "there will be some detail surprises, but the models spotted around town are near final under camouflage" camp.
Perhaps I might feel differently if I had private avenues to Tesla, which I don't.
But, still, it is quite a stretch to expect the end-result to be so different that one couldn't even discuss things like wheelbase. Is someone really expecting Tesla to release something with such a radical difference at this point? If so, it is certainly a bit hard for me to see where such confidence in Tesla's ability to release something as complex as a car in secret might come from.
It is true many of the panels are lining up badly and bits and pieces are missing here and there...
Just trying to explain my PoV. I am genuinely interested in the analysis of others and would love to be persuaded.
FWIW, I see the camo intentionally applied to give the illusion of bad/incorrect seams and ill-fitting panels as a distraction, not unlike an Escher drawing.
Just to be clear, I don't think there will be radical changes from what we're seeing to what the final design will look like. It's looking like there are some panels on these mules that could very well be final design elements and others that are from the many "prototype" or "alpha's" we've been seeing since the reveal.
To be more specific, I think the rear end of the final version could be taller. This is based on the way the rear hatch and quarter panels are fitting with the falcon doors, rear most side windows, and tail lights on these camouflaged mules.
I also think the whole front bumper, hood, and head lights could be different than what we're seeing for the same reasons of ill fitting with the front quarter panels, bumper and head lights.
So if we're talking about the exterior, I'd say we're seeing 95 - 99% of the general shape, but only about 80% of the actual panels/lights.
Obviously I don't think there would be structural changes to what we're seeing now.[/QUOTE]
When I have indicated we have not seen the production model yet this is what I personally am saying. Sure the general shape will stay but I think the front end (read grill/lights) and the back end (read higher to decrease slope over the 3rd row seat to give more head room or cargo space) is what will make the production version.
There are so many misalignments in this view alone that I'm really surprised they send the alpha/beta/what-e-vah out looking like this. :scared:...
I just assume that they have camouflage panels taped above the real panels and so the huge gaps in no way represent anything we would ever see in production.
I'm going to have so much free time once the Model-X is actually revealed...