Looks like we agree that it will be months before HW2 AP is at AP1 parity. AP1 will go up to 90MPH and will work on non-interstate roads.
Elon just tweeted updates every "2 to 6 weeks". This is Elon time, so let's use 6 weeks. 45-55-65-75-85-90 is 6 steps, which is 36 weeks, which is about September of this year. Even 45-55-65-90 is half a year. Pretty far off from "December" when it was announced in Oct.
Probably just over-reacting to my annoyance that the only way I can try this is to actually go search out traffic. I'm not doing 45MPH on a highway on purpose when everyone else is doing 65 MPH. This was not the experience I expected.
again I think that is overly pessimistic
I don't expect 6 steps to 90 mph. I see no big advantage for doing more than 2 or 3 steps to full unlimited speed. I'd say 45-55-65-90 is possible.
2 to 6 weeks per step puts you into March 2017 to May 2017. Well less than half a year (3 steps x 6 weeks is 18 weeks but half a year is 26 weeks). I'm going to go for March as a guess for full speed lane keeping with 65mph lane keeping happening in February.
And max speed isn't AP1 parity. Even if max speed is out in early March, the crossover to the day that AP2 is better than AP1 will be some number of weeks after it hits full speed lane keeping enabled.
But if you want to complain about Late December roll out vs January roll out you won't get much sympathy. Even less if you conflate the roll out with the AP1/AP2 crossover point. Everyone knew that Elon was talking about last week of December when he said
Elon Musk @elonmusk 22 Dec 2016
Looks like we might be ready to rollout most of Autopilot functionality for HW2 towards the end of next week
because he posted that 3 days before Christmas and the end of the next week was Dec 30th one day before New Years Eve.
Yeah it slipped a couple of weeks out from that and it isn't full speed enabled but if either the slight slip or the speed restrictions surprised you then you haven't been following Tesla since the first autopilot announcement that took years to go from announced to what we have now (and AP1 is still being developed, will get better in future updates). That's
Tesla Unveils Dual Motor and Autopilot Oct 2014 to Jan 2017 and it still isn't done. AP1 will have more than 3 years of development and more than 2 years of use in cars before they stop updating it, if they stop updating it.
If you are going by anything they said before December then those were "forward looking statements" and they are "“subject to risks and uncertainties."