Actually, I'd say that this is the best case dream scenario:
My Tesla Investment Thesis 2.0: Tesla's Monopoly Potential
@FrankSG arrives at $112k / share in 2030 (in a very long, very detailed blog post), complete with a financial model that's setup so that you can enter your own numbers for the different pieces and get to your own valuation.
The other simplistic number I use is Ron Baron saying he's looking for Tesla to have $1T in revenue by 2030. If that's 10% net profit, that's $100B in profit, or about a $2T market cap at a 20 PE multiple. My guess is net profit will be higher due to economies of scale - if nothing else, I would expect operating expenses to be shrinking as a % of revenue.
So that'd get to that $10k share price. Except maybe the company is STILL worth a higher multiple due to continuing rapid growth.
That gets you a bracketed share value in 2030 -- 10k to 112k.
EDIT: And yes, that's an unbelievably big number. I have a hard time believing it
. It does help understand why my overall investment thesis suggests that I'm likely to still own my shares when I die, but at least for the next 10+ years as I see things today.