As in the CNN Dr. Gupta? Not so random example? ;-)
I don't know if that is "THE" CNN Dr. Gupta. There are a lot of Dr.Guptas listed.
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As in the CNN Dr. Gupta? Not so random example? ;-)
Google the "Sunshine Law" regarding gifts to physicians. Every single gift a physician gets from a pharma or medical device company is put on a publicly searchable registry.
My wife used to like when the old guys would give a prep on a new drug. They knew what they were talking about and could answer questions or get the answer. When they replaced them with young attractive people she just stopped it all. They could only recite from scripts.Yeah, me too. My patients just never got insulin again after big pharma stopped those free meals.
I do agree that not having to sit through the sales pitches . . . that's a blessing. Being told by some sales guy with at best a BS and maybe an MBA about the "benefits" of drug X was usually pretty insulting. A few times I just told them to give me the damn product insert and shut up.
My wife used to like when the old guys would give a prep on a new drug. They knew what they were talking about and could answer questions or get the answer. When they replaced them with young attractive people she just stopped it all. They could only recite from scripts.
Oh - and my field - pediatric endocrinology - there are VERY VERY few patented medications. Almost everything we use has been out so long that the patents have long expired. 99% of the time in my specialty we were simply replacing the hormones that a patient's body was no longer making.
I do agree that not having to sit through the sales pitches . . . that's a blessing. Being told by some sales guy with at best a BS and maybe an MBA about the "benefits" of drug X was usually pretty insulting. A few times I just told them to give me the damn product insert and shut up.
My risk of death appears to be 2.65%.
just checked the app for my wendy's and it won't let me order any of these
- chili
- jr bacon (or any variation of jr burger)
the entire hamburger menu is not available, they have bacon for the chicken sandwiches (and all the chicken sandwiches) but no beef on the menu at all.
- dave single (and any variation of that)
Word online is this is happening in most of the country.
Now it's on the news. haha
Yesterday the Smart-Ass Model was predicting 2.5M ultimate cases and 153k ultimate deaths. Today this has pulled back a little to 2.24M ultimate cases and 137k ultimate deaths.Ok, it's time to upgrade from the dumb-ass model to a smart-ass model. I've been playing around with the case data and have noticed that trends seem to be pointing to several millions of case. So I have integrated both case and deaths into a model. This is roughly a multivariate response variation on the univariate dumb-ass model. The model is regressing both case and death growth rates on log(cases) and log(deaths). This way both outcomes are pricking up information from both processes. I am also limiting this regression to the last 28 days to avoid the nonlinearities of the deeper historical series. This also means I am incorporating the suggestion of the 14-day rolling fit, but simply extending it back 2 more weeks.
The smart-ass model also yields ultimate deaths and counts. Some will object that this does not allow for a second wave. In a single projection that of course is true, but if say case growth were to start to grow into the start of second wave, the smart-ass model would start to pick up on that both for cases and deaths. In deed, examination of the coefficients shows that if cases were to grow faster deaths, that would increase the expected growth rates of both deaths and cases. So the inclusion of cases as a leading indicator of deaths is an advantage of the smart-ass model over the dumb-ass model.
So let's see the results as of today. The smart-ass model projects 2.5 million ultimate cases and 153k deaths. This is substantially more than the dumb-ass model and 14-days model are projecting, 90k and 105k ultimate deaths respectively. The difference seems to be the push from new cases which the smart-ass is able to register.
View attachment 539102
View attachment 539103
It makes little difference visually whether we plot growth rates on total cases or total deaths. Either way, smart-ass model projects that both rates converge to each other and ultimately to zero (at ultimate cases and ultimate deaths).
View attachment 539105
View attachment 539106
Smart-Ass Projections are brought to you by the makers of SolaBag. Let the sunshine in!
So in your field (as if that negates all other medical fields), there are "VERY VERY few patented medications," just hormones "99% of the time." Yet somehow you heard so many new-drug sales pitches that you finally told them to shut up, and feel blessed to escape them.
There must a whole lotta hormones if only 1% of your medications caused such sales fatigue. And again, whatever the percentage in your field, the obvious fact is conventional doctors learn mostly meds supplied by Big Pharma, and Big Pharma thrives on patents.
No loss. Spicy chicken or GTFO.just checked the app for my wendy's and it won't let me order any of these
- chili
- jr bacon (or any variation of jr burger)
the entire hamburger menu is not available, they have bacon for the chicken sandwiches (and all the chicken sandwiches) but no beef on the menu at all.
- dave single (and any variation of that)
Word online is this is happening in most of the country.
No loss. Spicy chicken or GTFO.
Why are chicken processing plants being spared?
This reminds me of something I read recently:Seriously, google it. I know that's HARD for the intellectually challenged like you . . . .
I guess consistency is the hobgoblin of small minds like mine. Or something.3) you are personally attacking me - that's classic of those arguing from a weak position: use of personal attacks to distract from the fact that you don't have the data to back up your claims.
Yeah, I already admitted that insults and deadly corruption can do it. Add lying to the list.Nice to see it is SO EASY to get under your skin.
Well, your straw-man is getting warmer but still in the Arctic.Your entire argument, which you make VERY CLEAR, is that us doctors are sell-outs to big pharma and we just do their bidding to up their profit margins.
If somebody could mix Vitamin C with marijuana and Viagra, you'd have a cure for everything except gullibility. And you could make clothes out of it!