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POLL: When will "Quantum Leap" FSD be released to the HW3 fleet?
- Thread starter Daniel in SD
- Start date
I think Q4 2021. I hope it happens sooner of course. But we know it will take at least a few months of testing in beta and then it might need a couple more months to fix bugs. So I figured Q4 2021 was a pretty safe bet. Also safer for the entire public for it to be tested thoroughly. I hope they don't rush it cause I want a good and safe product without to much problems. It looks like a very cool item. Once perfected it will be a life changer for some.
My guess is that the “careful drivers” who have been selected are people who have used present FSD extensively and shown their interest in working with a beta product safely. I am unlikely to be selected as I find Navigate on Autopilot to be more trouble than it is worth. I have to pay more attention to it due to it making poor choices and repeatedly trying to do those choices even when I indicate not to. I would like FSD to be an actual driver aid, and it looks like the new FSD release requires a lot of work by the driver. Those who enjoy that sort of thing are the right people to get that release. I will not want it until it requires less work by me than if I were not using it.
What it needs to do what?
This question is about when (if?) beta FSD will be released to the HW3 fleet in the US. Tesla could release it today if they wanted to.
82.6% of people too optimistic (or pessimistic depending on your opinion about releasing beta FSD 
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DanCar
Active Member
Still crossing my fingers hoping it will come soon. What do you think?
mikes_fsd
Banned
Not any time soon I hope I am wrong. But our regulations won’t allow it and will drag theirs feet as much as they can. Look at what’s happening now with bs about why Tesla didn’t apply for recall when they did latest update that recognizes emergency vehicles.
We are seeing QUANTUM JUMPS in FSD every single day!
How can we not all see that?
Definition is
Quantum = very small increments or parcels
How can we not all see that?
Definition is
Quantum = very small increments or parcels
Whatever happened to @mikes_fsd? Hopefully he got FSD Beta.
Anyway, barring a Christmas miracle, FSD Beta will not be released to whole HW3 fleet in 2021.
Giving FSD Beta only to the dedicated fans who have the skill and persistence to pass the "Safety Score" test is genius.
Will @boonedocks, who predicted 2022, be the only one who got it right? I remain skeptical.
EVNow
Well-Known Member
I think releasing it to 20k+ cars makes this poll irrelevant
I agree in the sense that anyone who really wants it can get it (except for the sad folks with old cameras or the even sadder folks with MCU1).I think releasing it to 20k+ cars makes this poll irrelevant
EVNow
Well-Known Member
I don’t think many of us anticipated this. Basically Tesla found a workaround ...
Terminator857
Active Member
I've been training, coaching, encouraging my wife the entire time. Score is 98. Congrats @boonedocks for getting it right.
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If you can't do that then you don't want it bad enough. Though I'm guessing people who share a vehicle with a spouse who doesn't believe in The Mission might have trouble.....or that can't/don't manage their driving Safety Score.
It could still be 2023-3000! It could also be never as I predicted (though I won't be around to be proven right
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