Starting to deliver Production P90D

[timf]

Darryl,

I realize you have posted your assumed sequence multiple times before, yet I have never heard your source either. If it is like me, you are just making educated guesses based on tracker data and forum posts. Nothing wrong with that, but don't present it as if it's absolute fact. I doubt anyone except Tesla's production manager and those he reports to know for sure. I stand by my belief that once non-premium begins production, it will be prioritized the same as premium for 70D and 90D. The only reason for the current delay is they have not started producing the non-premium parts yet and are keeping their production mix simpler. Additionally, there are no data points that non-Autopilot delays orders as no one has ordered P90D+Premium without Autopilot on the tracker.

Fair disclosure: my 90D has premium and Autopilot so I don't have any personal gain from this stance.

 

[ohmman]

Fair disclosure: my 90D has premium and Autopilot so I don't have any personal gain from this stance.

Mine too, and let me tell you that come November, we've got a LOT to gain.

 

[aesculus]

I confirmed my order on 12/8/2015 and picked up my X90DL on 2/18.

Took some photos with the sun setting, so the blue doesn't really pop. The white interior does though.

Really nice pictures and a beautiful car.

Personally I like the car that dark. It looks stunning. If the blue really was that dark I might have seriously considered it.

 

[spentan]

Picked up our wall charger at SC and spotted 7 Model X on lot, according to receptionist, more due tomorrow.

Which SC?

 

[ssiegler]

So, I did a (very modest) analysis based on ModelXTracker data to see if there were biases to any particular config options, comparing ordered vs delivered ratios (last column).
The top of the list features some known detriments to earlier delivery times like Standard Drive Train (vs P), Onyx wheels, 70 kWh battery, etc.

But I (personally) hadn't come read about some of the items that seem to be under-indexing for delivery like 48 amp charging, Obsidian Black Metallic Paint, Standard Sound, etc.

A grain (if not a whole shaker) of salt here due to limited sample size and self-reported data, but perhaps a couple of these options are not "deal breakers" on earlier delivery dates but possibly have supply or quality control constraints.

YMMV...

Option	# of Ordered	Total Ordered	# of Delivered	Total Delivered	%Ord	%Dlv	%D/%O
Standard Drive Train	203	446	0	0	46%	0%	0%
48 amps (Standard)	131	465	0	0	28%	0%	0%
No Premium Upgrades Package (Standard)	73	431	0	56	17%	0%	0%
22 inch Onyx Black (Optional)	50	440	0	57	11%	0%	0%
Obsidian Black (Metallic)	38	437	0	58	9%	0%	0%
70 kWh (Standard)	34	446	0	0	8%	0%	0%
Five Seat Interior (Standard0	31	426	0	48	7%	0%	0%
No Suspension Package (Standard)	26	438	0	56	6%	0%	0%
Cloth Black Multi-Pattern (Standard)	25	433	0	55	6%	0%	0%
No Autopilot Package (Standard)	15	439	0	56	3%	0%	0%
Standard Sound System (Standard)	139	439	2	56	32%	4%	11%
Tan Leather (Optional/Signature)	134	433	2	55	31%	4%	12%
Obeche Wood Matte (Standard)	154	426	4	55	36%	7%	20%
Midnight Silver (Metallic)	72	437	3	58	16%	5%	31%
No Accessory Hitch or Tow Package (Standard)	75	430	4	53	17%	8%	43%
White (Solid)	32	437	2	58	7%	3%	47%
Red (Multi-Coat)	31	437	2	58	7%	3%	49%
2 inch Accessory Hitch (Optional)	143	430	10	53	33%	19%	57%
No Subzero Weather Package (Standard)	142	432	10	52	33%	19%	59%
Deep Blue (Metallic)	86	437	7	58	20%	12%	61%
Obeche Wood Gloss (Upgrade)	37	426	3	55	9%	5%	63%
20 inch Silver (Standard)	308	440	26	57	70%	46%	65%
Silver (Metallic)	23	437	2	58	5%	3%	66%
Six Seat Interior (Optional/Signature)	221	426	20	48	52%	42%	80%
Ultra White Synthetic Leather (Optional/Signature)	102	433	11	55	24%	20%	85%
Black (Standard)	306	429	37	56	71%	66%	93%
Black Leather (Optional/Signature)	172	433	22	55	40%	40%	101%
Seven Seat Interior (Optional/Signature)	174	426	20	48	41%	42%	102%
Auto Pilot Convenience Features (Optional/Signature)	424	439	56	56	97%	100%	104%
Smart Air Suspension (Optional/Signature)	412	438	56	56	94%	100%	106%
Pearl White (Multi-Coat)	49	437	7	58	11%	12%	108%
90 kWh (Optional/Signature)	412	446	62	62	92%	100%	108%
Black (Solid)	26	437	4	58	6%	7%	116%
White (Standard)	123	429	19	56	29%	34%	118%
Subzero (Optional)	290	432	42	52	67%	81%	120%
Premium Upgrades Package (Optional/Signature)	358	431	56	56	83%	100%	120%
Carbon Fiber (Upgrade)	82	426	13	55	19%	24%	123%
72 amps (Optional/Signature)	334	465	61	61	72%	100%	139%
Ultra High Fidelity Sound (Optional/Signature)	300	439	54	56	68%	96%	141%
Tow Package (Optional)	212	430	39	53	49%	74%	149%
Performance (Optional/Signature)	132	446	29	62	30%	47%	158%
Dark Ash Wood (Upgrade)	48	426	10	55	11%	18%	161%
Titanium (Metallic)	37	437	9	58	8%	16%	183%
Figured Ash Wood (Upgrade)	105	426	25	55	25%	45%	184%
Ludicrous Speed Upgrade (Optional/Signature)	111	446	33	62	25%	53%	214%
20 inch Silver Helix (Optional/Signature	18	440	5	57	4%	9%	214%
22 inch Silver (Optional/Signature)	64	440	26	57	15%	46%	314%
Signature Red (Signature)	43	437	22	58	10%	38%	385%

-ss

- - - Updated - - -

(apologies for huge gap, likely introduced by table paste, no permission to edit)

 

[timf]

I wouldn't read too much into that. There are only 5 data points for production deliveries so far versus nearly 60 for Signature/Founder. The latter automatically gets 72A charging, premium sound, and free upgrades to any interior trim. Also, a significant portion of those on the tracker ordered Signature Red, which means the other paint colors will have a lower number of deliveries.

 

[bobbykansara]

The whole production sequence really suck and Tesla needs to do better at both communication and policy, because the current one is clearly confusing/not fair. Forget about 70 or 90D, Tesla can't even produce P90Ds that have no premium package! I have a P90D without Premium, reserved since early 2014 and guess what, people with P90D + premium who ordered late 2015 are skipping the line.

/Rant on
Imagine if you go to a restaurant and wait in line. There are certain expectations that for the most part, the tables will be available based on the sequence of waiting line. Occasionally, depending on your table preference, your wait maybe faster (i.e., people who are willing to sit at the bar maybe faster than party of 10 at a large table), which is analogous to the battery size delivery schedule...e.g., P90D>90D>70D, that's fair enough when you communicate this up front during the order process.

Now imagine if the restaurant start changing this expectation, and on top of table size/preference, people with seafood orders will be served faster than non-seafood, even if they just arrived at the restaurant. All of this without communicating to people who have waited for a long time.... Not very cool.

/Rant off

Not a bad analogy, but the difference is the type of restaurant you are waiting at. Tesla is French Laundry: considered by many as the best restaurant in the country with a wait list that books many many months into the future. Even getting a reservation is difficult as you often can't even get them on the phone (it's always busy). But because the food is so exquisite, people will wait. Sure you can go to McDonald's (GM) and get served faster, but you don't get something special. So even the disgruntled among us stay and wait and exalt in the special meal when our time comes. There is no other car on the planet like a tesla. Period. So we wait despite its problems.

 

[ohmman]

My meals at the French Laundry have always started exactly on time.

 

[jomo25]

Isn't auto pilot hw planned for installation on all cars and only software disabled? If so why would thy really factor into
Sequencing?

 

[Whocares]

@spentan I'm in Southern California, I'm not going to say which SC as to not bombard them with looky loos.

 

[elguapo]

Isn't auto pilot hw planned for installation on all cars and only software disabled? If so why would thy really factor into
Sequencing?

I think because the $2,500 they get for it is all profit precisely because it is just a software upgrade. They've already put sensors in, as you said and software change is free to them. If goal is to make highest margin cars first, AP is a high margin item and fits that strategy.

 

[MBTesLosAngeles]

@spentan I'm in Southern California, I'm not going to say which SC as to not bombard them with looky loos.

Centinela.

 

[omarsultan]

Just got a call from my DS, my MX (VIN 47x) is ready for pick-up in Fremont: P90D, 6 seats, premium + most options

 

[Paul Carter]

Just got a call from my DS, my MX (VIN 47x) is ready for pick-up in Fremont: P90D, 6 seats, premium + most options

Oh wow, how very exciting!!! Thrilled for you!!! Can't wait to hear about it.

 

[elguapo]

Just got a call from my DS, my MX (VIN 47x) is ready for pick-up in Fremont: P90D, 6 seats, premium + most options

Awesome! Keep us posted. I am less than 10 away from you. Hopefully mine will come soon too. Exciting!

 

[ptsagcy]

Congrats guys. Welcome to the party.

 

[Darryl]

Just got a call from my DS, my MX (VIN 47x) is ready for pick-up in Fremont: P90D, 6 seats, premium + most options

Congratulations @Omarsultan, maybe you will have better luck than I by getting it at the factory. They rescheduled me three times and finally when I went to pick up there was a cracked port on the charger and I had to be rescheduled again. Next Thursday is the new day.

Please update ModelXTracker.com as you progress through the process.

 

[Sweedy]

Just got a call from my DS, my MX (VIN 47x) is ready for pick-up in Fremont: P90D, 6 seats, premium + most options

It's gettin' real in the Tesla parking lot! My DS said delivery within the next 2 weeks. I changed to San Rafael SC for convenience, but am hoping for *that call* pretty soon. Prod. VIN 484, confirmed 12/21/15. Updated MX Tracker!

 

[KOL2000]

Vin 6xx picking up Thursday! All options except 22 inches and ludi.

 

[Dalia]

Picking up VIN 38x tomorrow! Could have picked it up Saturday, but I wasn't available. Configured on 12/2/15, Midnight Silver, 7 seater (wish I got the 6), ultra white seats. Hoping to take it to the lake and take some nice pics with the city in the back.