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The poll is of course not scientific but still useful information.
Agree with pretty much everything you wrote above, but with regard to #3, there is an alternate view:
Perhaps for the M3 to be successful, it need only be more useful than a Leaf, a Bolt, or an e-Golf. So many people just don't travel as it is. When all of the aforementioned manage to get by without SCs, there's gotta be room for a default M3 without the extra cost of an SC option (whether throttled or unlimited).
With that said, I agree that an SC-enabled M3 would be even more of a category killer. I just don't know that those would outpace sales of a lesser M3 variant for a price-conscious market segment.
But there have been less than 200K Leafs sold total. If Tesla really is going to meet it's sales targets it's got to be a lot better than a Leaf or a compliance cars.Agree with pretty much everything you wrote above, but with regard to #3, there is an alternate view:
Perhaps for the M3 to be successful, it need only be more useful than a Leaf, a Bolt, or an e-Golf. So many people just don't travel as it is. When all of the aforementioned manage to get by without SCs, there's gotta be room for a default M3 without the extra cost of an SC option (whether throttled or unlimited).
With that said, I agree that an SC-enabled M3 would be even more of a category killer. I just don't know that those would outpace sales of a lesser M3 variant for a price-conscious market segment.
The poll is interesting but is it really all that relevant?
TMC has a lot of die-hard fans and shareholders and early purchasers.
Your second statement proves some relevance. Read this thread and you imagine a huge, scandalous mess; see that a relatively small number of folks perhaps inadvertently received the mail, hmmm a mistake but hardly worthy of the outcry we've collectively devoted to it.
Your second statement proves some relevance. Read this thread and you imagine a huge, scandalous mess; see that a relatively small number of folks perhaps inadvertently received the mail, hmmm a mistake but hardly worthy of the outcry we've collectively devoted to it.
Tesla likely assumed 5% (as it is roughly right now for Model S fleet) and $0.10/kWh electricity. That would work out exactly to $500. The 10% I have refers to a Census survey that shows ~10% of miles travelled are trips of 100 miles or longer (I will have to dig up the exact percentage, it was mentioned in other threads).Isn't that what the peak rate in CA is during the day?
Residential average is 11c/kwh.
OK, found this, $0.13/kwh for commercial. Not sure how true or accurate it is: California Electricity Rates | Electricity Local
So that so that's still $1,300 instead of $500 that they assumed for roadtrips. Or $31k for daily charging.
Read the article. These are HPWCs and the electricity is not free (the garage sets the price of electricity). I suggested something similar before using supercharger hardware (call it "urban chargers" or something and charge a fee for it). Any sustainable charging solution for city daily charging will not be free.Tesla will be building SC in Manhattan for city dwellers Log In - The New York Times so does this mean if I live in a condo or apartment it is okay to use the SC if I'm local? Time to move....
I think the issue has been overblown. As of the last time it was tracked, supercharging made up only slightly more than 5% of travel by the Model S fleet. There are a handful of locations that have experienced congestion, but it is not that severe even in those cases (and Tesla has been adding more stations in areas to address this). I think letters like this one is sufficient at this stage of the game (as well as their marketing highlighting superchargers being for long distance use). It is rather unfortunate that they botched it up though.The bottom line for me is that Tesla has to set a clear policy on Supercharger use, and do it soon. With every day, new Model S are driving out onto the roads, and Model X will bring even more people onto the network.
Sending out vague letters (we don't even know what constitutes a "local" Supercharger, or what is frequent use) is completely unacceptable. The company needs to be held to account for this, and at the very least they owe some people here an apology.
I very much doubt that the Superchargers will be "free" in the next generation of Tesla vehicles. I predicted more than a year ago that free Supercharging would eventually become a problem for Tesla (http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/showthread.php/31598-Sociology-and-the-Supercharger-Nomad) with roving bands of vagrant Tuscan Raiders in used Model S and Model X subsisting off the free electricity.
This is going to result in unpleasantness at the Supercharger stations.
Are you really going to want to have to face this when using a Supercharger station:
Some kind of fee per hourly use will eventually become necessary IMO.
I think the issue has been overblown. As of the last time it was tracked, supercharging made up only slightly more than 5% of travel by the Model S fleet. There are a handful of locations that have experienced congestion, but it is not that severe even in those cases (and Tesla has been adding more stations in areas to address this). I think letters like this one is sufficient at this stage of the game (as well as their marketing highlighting superchargers being for long distance use). It is rather unfortunate that they botched it up though.
Your second statement proves some relevance. Read this thread and you imagine a huge, scandalous mess; see that a relatively small number of folks perhaps inadvertently received the mail, hmmm a mistake but hardly worthy of the outcry we've collectively devoted to it.
They are going to have to cap the miles eventually for this "free" charging thing to work. Supercharging 400 miles a day, multiple times a week(as someone earlier claimed they did), is abuse in my opinion. Be it for work or pleasure. The average in this country is 13k per year.
Supercharger | Tesla Motors
Will it always be free?
Yes, Superchargers will be free to use for Supercharging-enabled vehicles for the life of Model S.
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Customers are free to use the network as much as they like
- there will be no shortage of fanbois/gurls to support your position.
Except that it creates unnecessary FUD for many customers of a company already not strong in the communications department.
Moreover, it directly impacts one of the core features and benefits of Model S ownership.
A few hundreds posts of feedback and analysis is nothing compared to the damage already done externally.
To minimize or to make light of it is to do the company a further disservice - perhaps more so than to overstate the case. And in this case, any lost sale or negative impact is one sale and one impact too many.
But go ahead and minimize it if it makes ya feel better - there will be no shortage of fanbois/gurls to support your position.
Sorry, that's not worthy of a response.