May we duplicate last year's chart from this point out. $600 by June!
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Todd Burch
14-Year Member
2556 spotted (See Model 3 latest VIN or TSLA General Discussion threads).
Can't wait to see a semi prototype transporting lots of Model 3 from Sparx to Fremont.
Not going to happen. Model 3s are made in Fremont, not Sparks. Maybe you could see a Tesla Semi pulling a trailer full of Model 3 batteries and/or motors from Sparks to Fremont, but I don't know how you would know what was in the trailer.
Hell, I'd be doing the same as those insitutions if I weren't already overextended (as in, having mild trouble sleeping).
Myusername, have you ever sat down and written a valuation for a "typical auto company" which also owns all its dealerships, sells its own fuel, sells its own "oil wells" and "fuel storage" and "fuel dispensers" to its customers, and most importantly *doesn't* have a dying legacy business?
I think you haven't.
You're a short-term technical trader; you have little experience with the complex art of company valuation. I suggest you go run a bottom-up model and find out what a "typical auto company" of this sort would actually be valued at. You're undervaluing the "typical auto company" because you're looking only at auto companies with gigantic dying legacy businesses, who split their income with franchised dealerships, who don't own oil companies.
Serious advice.
HG Wells
Martian Embassy
Well I was lucky enough to buy 10 Dec 15 330's lottery tickets last week (at 65 cents).
I have never had a win on lottery tickets before so I have a question.
I am planning on waiting till friday. Should I start cashing out friday morning or how late in the day is it safe to do it ?
If its 3:45 PM est and I close at market can it fail to go through ?
I have never had a win on lottery tickets before so I have a question.
I am planning on waiting till friday. Should I start cashing out friday morning or how late in the day is it safe to do it ?
If its 3:45 PM est and I close at market can it fail to go through ?
Mike Smith
Active Member
Short interest up another million to 31,163,300. Up over 3 million in November. Bad timing!
While I agree I will point out that BYD, SAIC, BAIC, Geely, and a couple of other Chinese companies are already on the "good side" of the transition, so Tesla isn't alone on this side of the moat.
I'd prefer to duplicate 2013's chart (next stop $1800) but I'm pretty sure that's not happening (at that point I think the valuation really would be looking too far in the future).
if you put a market order in to sell close your options it should go through instantly. if you put a limit order in, someone will have to decide they want to buy at your price and that might not execute before close. 330's wont be worth anything (probably 5-10c or something depending on how close to $330 it is) friday at 3:45 if its not above 330$, keep that in mind.
This continues the uncanny (and block-headed) tendency of TSLA short sellers to short sell low and buy/cover high I flagged a few months back. Tracking short interest (post 1010)
Almost comically bad timing.
Have you ever had this much of your portfolio in a single stock? If so, was it a company that had only been publicly traded for 8 years? Just curious. I'm more overextended than you I believe, but working with a much, much, much smaller amount of money.
I can't advise you what to do as we all have a different frame of reference/age/life......I will tell you what I do with lottos that are up big. I sell half of them when they are up over 100% as I book profit along with my initial investment, then let the rest ride. I personally don't wait till last moment before expiry to make sure the sale goes through.
I have a funny feeling that @Curt Renz (IIRC) will be right. He questioned whether Chanos’ short announcement last month would be like a Speigel bottom in 2016.
So maybe a “minor” bottom in 2016 with a “major” bottom in 2017... considering who is calling the short.
Pattern the last several days is eerily similar to December 2016–which we now know was Tencent buying. Fingers crossed.
So maybe a “minor” bottom in 2016 with a “major” bottom in 2017... considering who is calling the short.
Pattern the last several days is eerily similar to December 2016–which we now know was Tencent buying. Fingers crossed.
Mike Smith
Active Member
Already over 200k shares traded in AH. Up to 329.47
TheTalkingMule
Distributed Energy Enthusiast
Was hoping to stick around $300 through the QR, then rachet up my leap's on an earnings dip. So much for that.
I need to stop trying to trade and focus on simply investing early with sack.
Congrats on the production ramp, if that is in fact what's happening.
I need to stop trying to trade and focus on simply investing early with sack.
Congrats on the production ramp, if that is in fact what's happening.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
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