It was already pointed out to you there's been many instances where Teslas website lagged updating accurately for some thing- including inventory cars- so that remains non-dispositive right now.
It's listed as one of two possible theories- so unsure how you get to "refuse to believe" a thing I specifically listed as one of two possible true things.
Did you actually read it? Because what he wrote was:
But you seem to think he instead outright said your theory must be the only possible correct one.
Of course it does.
Unless you think Panasonic is magically making a LOT more cells in Nevada today than a year ago.
Because if they're not, and Y sales are
higher in 2024 than in 2023, there wouldn't be a ton of spare Nevada cells to go into 3s.
Except they
are up in Q1 2024 compared to Q1 last year.
As you've been proven with links multiple times.
Sure- perhaps AFTER Q1 sales of the Y suddenly tanked like crazy and NOW there's extra cells.
That's literally one of the two theories I listed in the post you keep complain about.
No such refresh is coming this year, as explicitly stated by Elon.
Based on the Highland refresh a new Y would likely come early next year in China, but not to the US until mid-late 2025.
Panasonic has a new 2170 factory in the US (Kansas) with mass production is targeted to begin by the end of March 2025- so that lines up pretty nicely for solving any IRA cell concerns at that point.