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Australian Model 3 Waiting Room
- Thread starter rgc1990
- Start date
Maybe. But so far we only have evidence for that handful of days. My thinking is that those vins may not even reach into the hundreds.
Basically if 3 days of orders equals 100 cars, say. Then all orders from December to March would equal 4000. Then 14% of 4000 (for LR) is 560. So 4560 orders total. Which sounds about right to me.
If it were 1000, we'd be looking at 40,000 orders which we know it probably isn't.
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Unless Tesla mixes Y and 3s on one ship? It's hard for me to believe that they would ship thousands of ys and hundreds of 3s that would probably leave Model 3 buyers (who waited so long) to cry for another few months. Production will continue in a few days and we shall wait and see.
I guess my point is that if they were producing these cars from the 28th to shutdown, then they only produced 100 odd. Which is a tiny proportion of output.
Yes. My calculations include RWD. That's the 4000 number.
3 days of production for RWD (16, 17, 18 January orders). I am assuming 100 produced and using that to show how many vins might have been assigned.
4 months = 120 days (ish)
120 days ÷ 3 (days of production that made 100 cars) = 40 (3 day blocks)
100 × 40 = 4000
1 day of LR (4 December)
We know LR are about 14% of total orders. So failing to have total order numbers, lets just use 14% of 4000. Which is 560. Let's be generous and say 600.
Total 4600
What this highlights isn't accuracy. It highlights there is no way they have produced 1000s of cars or assigned 1000s of VINS. Tens, yes.
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6600 rt43s. Rt43 is a 1970s Toyota corona model. Modern cars are larger generally.
Rt43 =4125mm x 1550mm
Model 3 = 4694 x 1849mm
I also suspect that recent Aussie VINs are too few in number to be from a dedicated Aussie production run. It feels like rationing behaviour.
...but then, why start making the MYs?
Don't need a dedicated ship, the Viking Passama docks at Shanghai a day or two after they shut the model 3 line down and restart the model Y line. There will be whatever portion of 2 weeks model 3 production is tagged for AU waiting. Then the Morning Crystal docks 5 days after the Passama. Plenty of shipping capacity by the look of it.
I'm confused?
Tesla Shanghai can produce 2+ thousand cars a day
They only need 1-2 days to entirely fill up a ship
Shanghai has gone rogue and patriotism is dictating export vs domestic production? The head of Tesla China did say she was pushing for a bigger allocation of production volume.
Their days of blaming lockdowns and parts shortages are at an end. Their production numbers counter that argument.
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Maybe I should change my order to M3 RWD - it'll probably still arrive before the LR !!!
1000ish Model 3s a day. Soon to be 1200. Which is why only assigning 100 odd is strange. It's like 3 hours of production.
OR. That ollllld chasing profit in the EU at the expense of Australians chestnut. Maybe that. Maybe that.
They also assigned some Y's. The "Whirlpool" forum form has 80+ Y's with confirmed VIN's which is potentially also destined for the Clara. Not everybody will fill in the forms or be active members either hear or at Whirlpool
The entire ship wouldn't be dedicated to just Tesla either, no point assigning 800 cars when you only have so many slots on the ship
Yeah which frankly infuriates me. Same with the EU profit line. All this boils down to is Tesla being ****ed again. And again. And again.
It's a 'reason', yes. It is NOT a justification. This is the same argument i got in earlier incidentallt. We all know why it's happening. The why is what is justifiably infuriating us. It's this weird cyclical argument where your opponent continually presses the reason but refuses to admit it's a bad way to treat customers. Boggles my mind.
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