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Maybe. But so far we only have evidence for that handful of days. My thinking is that those vins may not even reach into the hundreds.What I think is that there would be a dedicated ship that leaves Shanghai in July and will carry 3000-4000 Model 3s for Australia and New Zealand (not sharing ships with Ys). If Tesla wants they could easily produce these 3000-4000 RHD Model 3s within a week of time.
Unless Tesla mixes Y and 3s on one ship? It's hard for me to believe that they would ship thousands of ys and hundreds of 3s that would probably leave Model 3 buyers (who waited so long) to cry for another few months. Production will continue in a few days and we shall wait and see.Maybe. But so far we only have evidence for that handful of days. My thinking is that those vins may not even reach into the hundreds.
Except there are also RWD VINs assigned too. Tesla doesn't have any production issues with LFP batteries (made so many Model y allocations) therefore hard to believe they are going to ignore Model 3 RWD.Maybe. But so far we only have evidence for that handful of days. My thinking is that those vins may not even reach into the hundreds.
Basically if 3 days of orders equals 100 cars, say. Then all orders from December to March would equal 4000. Then 14% of 4000 (for LR) is 560. So 4560 orders total. Which sounds about right to me.
If it were 1000, we'd be looking at 40,000 orders which we know it probably isn't.
I guess my point is that if they were producing these cars from the 28th to shutdown, then they only produced 100 odd. Which is a tiny proportion of output.Unless Tesla mixes Y and 3s on one ship? It's hard for me to believe that they would ship thousands of ys and hundreds of 3s that would probably leave Model 3 buyers (who waited so long) to cry for another few months. Production will continue in a few days and we shall wait and see.
Yes. My calculations include RWD. That's the 4000 number.Except there are also RWD VINs assigned too. Tesla doesn't have any production issues with LFP batteries (made so many Model y allocations) therefore hard to believe they are going to ignore Model 3 RWD.
None left None left None leftPatience Patience Patience.
6600 rt43s. Rt43 is a 1970s Toyota corona model. Modern cars are larger generally.Turandot 6600 cars
I also suspect that recent Aussie VINs are too few in number to be from a dedicated Aussie production run. It feels like rationing behaviour.I agree, so that means that they could have been left overs from UK production and ours will be from the 5th on once the factory reopens?
Could be similar to the demos we saw people allocated a little bit back?I also suspect that recent Aussie VINs are too few in number to be from a dedicated Aussie production run. It feels like rationing behaviour.
...but then, why start making the MYs?
Don't need a dedicated ship, the Viking Passama docks at Shanghai a day or two after they shut the model 3 line down and restart the model Y line. There will be whatever portion of 2 weeks model 3 production is tagged for AU waiting. Then the Morning Crystal docks 5 days after the Passama. Plenty of shipping capacity by the look of it.What I think is that there would be a dedicated ship that leaves Shanghai in July and will carry 3000-4000 Model 3s for Australia and New Zealand (not sharing ships with Ys). If Tesla wants they could easily produce these 3000-4000 RHD Model 3s within a week of time.
Just not close to enough cars for the ships at this rate!Don't need a dedicated ship, the Viking Passama docks at Shanghai a day or two after they shut the model 3 line down and restart the model Y line. There will be whatever portion of 2 weeks model 3 production is tagged for AU waiting. Then the Morning Crystal docks 5 days after the Passama. Plenty of shipping capacity by the look of it.
I'm confused?So i'm thinking about the maths of the orders that received vins on the 28th. 1 day worth of LR orders and maybe 3 days worth of RWD orders can't equate to very many cars surely. Certainly not thousands.
Shanghai has gone rogue and patriotism is dictating export vs domestic production? The head of Tesla China did say she was pushing for a bigger allocation of production volume.I seriously can’t come up with any theory for what’s going on here. Nothing makes sense at all to me. It’s quite torturous the way this is all unfolding.
Maybe I should change my order to M3 RWD - it'll probably still arrive before the LR !!!Except there are also RWD VINs assigned too. Tesla doesn't have any production issues with LFP batteries (made so many Model y allocations) therefore hard to believe they are going to ignore Model 3 RWD.
1000ish Model 3s a day. Soon to be 1200. Which is why only assigning 100 odd is strange. It's like 3 hours of production.I'm confused?
Tesla Shanghai can produce 2+ thousand cars a day
They only need 1-2 days to entirely fill up a ship
OR. That ollllld chasing profit in the EU at the expense of Australians chestnut. Maybe that. Maybe that.Shanghai has gone rogue and patriotism is dictating export vs domestic production? The head of Tesla China did say she was pushing for a bigger allocation of production volume.
Their days of blaming lockdowns and parts shortages are at an end. Their production numbers counter that argument.
May be rest is all Fork lifts....Just not close to enough cars for the ships at this rate!
1000ish Model 3s a day. Soon to be 1200. Which is why only assigning 100 odd is strange. It's like 3 hours of production.
Yeah which frankly infuriates me. Same with the EU profit line. All this boils down to is Tesla being ****ed again. And again. And again.They also assigned some Y's. The "Whirlpool" forum form has 80+ Y's with confirmed VIN's which is potentially also destined for the Clara. Not everybody will fill in the forms or be active members either hear or at Whirlpool
The entire ship wouldn't be dedicated to just Tesla either, no point assigning 800 cars when you only have so many slots on the ship